Tuesday, November 07, 2006

HUNDRED KILLED IN CHAD AS ARAB MILITIAS SMASH RESISTANCE

DARFUR : INSIDE THE DEATH SQUADS


One hundred plus people are beaten, stabbed, speared, shot, slashed and smashed to death and, for today at least, the world's media barely notices.

From Reuters :
More than 100 people were killed in clashes between Arabs and non-Arabs in southeast Chad last week...(the government) accused Arab militia raiders from Sudan of stirring up ethnic violence.

President Idriss Deby's administration said the violence inside Chad once again underlined the need for U.N. peacekeepers to be sent to Sudan's western Darfur region to stop the long-running conflict there from spilling over the border.

The government said fighting between Arabs and non-Arabs had also killed many in the Dar Sila department of neighbouring Ouaddai prefecture that borders Sudan.

Bachir said Chad's mixed Arab and non-Arab communities in the east had managed to get along well enough in the past, unlike Sudan's Darfur over the border where a raging political and ethnic conflict has killed tens of thousands since 2003.

"The whole frontier is on fire..."

The following story has been sitting in our archive for a few weeks, but it is still an essential piece. The London Times supplies the inside track on life as a Janjawid militia man :

Dily, a Sudanese Arab, recounts how for three years he and his fellow Janjawid charged the farming villages of Darfur on their camels and horses, raking the huts with gunfire and shouting: “Kill the slaves. Kill the slaves.”



He reckons he attacked about 30 villages in all, and cannot count the people he shot. The villages were invariably destroyed, he says. The homes were burnt to the ground and the men, women and children killed — sometimes with the help of government airstrikes. If there were survivors “they would be left there . . . They couldn’t get help. Sometimes they made it to camps but mostly they died of thirst or starvation”.

He expresses remorse. He is willing to talk, and the story he tells flatly contradicts the Sudanese Government’s claims that it has no control over the Janjawid — the predominantly Arab “devils on horseback” who have driven two million of Darfur’s black Africans into camps and killed at least 200,000.

He says the Government deceived innocent Arab shepherds like himself into joining the Janjawid, saying they had to defend their communities against attack by Darfur’s black African rebel groups.

He says they were trained and armed by Sudanese soldiers, ordered by the Government to attack Darfur’s villages and given military support when necessary. The Janjawid was formed for ethnic cleansing, he insists. “Why (else) would you attack villages, kill people, displace them and kill them in their thousands?”

Apart from occasional visits home, Dily and his battalion — led by a former bandit — spent the next three years on the move, destroying one village after another. “The Government said attack all villages. The local commanders decided which,” he said.

The attacks usually started early and lasted most of the day. The commanders said the villages had to be destroyed, and they did not spare women or children. “Mostly they said “Kill the blacks. Kill the blacks,” Dily said. “The majority of (the victims) were civilians, most of them women.”

The London Times also supplies a concise history of the Darfur Crisis :

February 2003 The Darfur Liberation Front, later the Sudan Liberation Army (SLA), claims discrimination by the mainly Arabic Government against black Africans

Spring 2004 Government is accused of using Arab militia — Janjawid — against SLA

January 2005 UN reports that Government and militias collaborated to commit atrocities, but “genocidal intent appears to be missing”

May 2006 Government and SLA sign peace deal, promise to disarm the Janjawid

August 2006 Janjawid still armed. UN resolution calls for a peacekeeping force

September 2006 African Union ignores order to leave

October 2006 Bush imposes further sanctions


Darfur Genocide Spreads Into Neighbouring Chad

Sudan Leader : No UN Troops For Darfur


Why Iraq Teaches Nothing About Intervention In Darfur

Sunday, November 05, 2006

THE WORLD AT WAR IN BRIEF

(Excerpts from featured stories; click the headlines for the links)


SADDAM HUSSEIN : CONVICTED FOR MASSACRES, FACES THE NOOSE
Saddam Hussein, Iraq's deposed dictator, was today sentenced to death by hanging for crimes against humanity.

Visibly shaken, Saddam shouted "God is great" as chief judge Raouf Abdul Rahman read out the court's verdict.

He was tried over the deaths of more than 148 Shia Muslim men and boys in reprisal for a 1982 assassination attempt on the Iraqi leader in the town of Dujail.

Two of Saddam's co-defendants were also sentenced to hang: his half-brother and former intelligence chief Barzan Ibrahim, and Awad Hamed al-Bandar, head of the former revolutionary court. Former Iraqi vice president Taha Yassin Ramadan was sentenced to life in prison.


IRAN TEST FIRES MISSILES THAT CAN REACH ISRAEL - WARNS UNITED STATES TO BE CAREFUL IN THEIR OWN GULF EXERCISES
Iran test-fired three new sea missiles in the Persian Gulf today, indicating that the maneuvers should send a clear message to the U.S. not to conduct any more military exercises in the area.

Iranian state television broadcast footage of the Revolutionary Guards firing naval-warfare missiles with a range of about 106 miles.

The tests and exercises came only days after the U.S. conducted naval maneuvers in the Gulf...

"Our enemies should keep their hostility out of the Persian Gulf," said Adm. Sardar Fadavi, the deputy chief of the Revolutionary Guards navy. "They should not initiate any move that would make the region tense,"

Iran is widely believed to have bought missile technology from North Korea. Its ballistic missile, the Shahab-3, is thought to be based on North Korea's Nodong missile....

NATO FORCES BATTLE AFGHAN INSURGENTS NEAR KABUL

In a clash unusually close to the Afghan capital, Nato forces attacked an insurgent compound in the Tagab Valley, some 40 miles north-east of Kabul...fighting continued in the area yesterday.

The air strike on the compound, where eight to 10 insurgents were sheltering, is part of Operation Eagle...aimed at hunting down Taliban fighters.

Most of the fighting has been concentrated in Afghanistan's south and east, close to the Pakistan border...

Taliban fighters, meanwhile, attacked a convoy of supply vehicles going to a Nato base in the eastern province of Khost, killing two Pakistani drivers.

SOMALIA PEACE TALKS FADE, HORN OF AFRICA BRACES FOR VIOLENCE

Earlier this week, a crucial third round of peace talks in Sudan, aimed at convincing the weak government in Baidoa and powerful Islamists in Mogadishu to open a dialogue for a power-sharing agreement, failed to take place, partly because the Islamists first demanded the withdrawal of Ethiopian troops from Somalia.

Since the Islamists took power in Mogadishu in June and began expanding their power throughout southern and central Somalia, Ethiopia has repeatedly denied allegations that it has deployed troops to Somalia to protect the country's weak, secular government in Baidoa.

But Christian leaders in Addis Ababa, who say Islamist leaders in Mogadishu are led by extremists with ties to terrorist organizations, have also said that they would not tolerate the establishment of a fundamentalist Muslim theocracy in Somalia.


CLAIM : IRAQ WAR FIASCO STOPPED UNITED STATES FROM ATTACKNG IRAN
A few months ago, (Ex-CIA analyst Tyler Drumheller) was concerned that the (Bush) administration was headed towards a military strike against Tehran.

He now believes that such a path is not being pursued because the war in Iraq has “sucked so many resources out of the military and intelligence agencies” that both are badly depleted.

Iraq, he said, has shown that conquering and occupying a decent-sized country is a recipe for disaster.

JUNJAWEED MILITIA ATTACKS CONTINUE IN DARFUR, DOZENS DIE

In a report released Friday, the United Nations said at least 50 civilians, including 27 children, were killed in the latest round of attacks by militias known as janjaweed....in the Jebel Moon region in Western Darfur.

Fighting has displaced thousands of civilians in recent months, as the Sudanese army continues an offensive against rebels in the region.

....international ire is growing as Sudan refuses to allow a United Nations peacekeeping force to replace the African Union mission currently on the ground.

The tide of violence has risen since late August when the Sudanese government launched an offensive against rebels that have refused to sign the Darfur Peace Agreement.

In recent weeks the fighting has spread to neighboring Chad and the Central African Republic, raising fears that the Darfur conflict could destabilize the already volatile region.

SOMALIA : ISLAMISTS DENY PLANS FOR SUICIDE ATTACKS, BLAME "AMERICAN/ZIONIST PROPAGANDA"
Somalia's powerful Islamic movement Friday denied US allegations that its supreme leader had authorized suicide attacks in neighboring Kenya and Ethiopia.

The Islamists, some of whom are suspected of links with Osama Bin Laden's Al Qaeda network, said that the "baseless warning" from Washington was part of a pro-Zionist, Israeli propaganda aimed at destabilizing the Muslim world.

"We know that America never favors Islamic movements anywhere in the world and such statements are part of a incorrect Zionist-inherited ideology," said Sheikh Mukhtar Robow, the Islamists' deputy defense chief.

"America misleads its own people by giving such baseless warnings but we will never falter because we stand ready to defend our religion and people from the enemy of Allah," Robow said.
The US warning came as the Islamists have declared jihad, or holy war, on neighboring Ethiopia for allegedly sending thousands of troops to Somalia to back the country's weak government and accused Kenya of siding with Ethiopia.

Earlier this year, a covert US program to support Somali warlords battling the Islamists for control of Mogadishu failed disastrously when the capital fell in June after months of fierce fighting.

The Islamists have since rapidly expanded their territory to include most of southern and central Somalia, where they have imposed strict Sharia law, fuelling concern of a Taliban-style takeover of the lawless country.


BUSH & BLAIR : THEIR IRAQ FANTASY BLASTED BY BLOODY REALITY
Hostility to the American and British troops has a direct and lethal consequence for the soldiers on the ground. The same poll shows that 92 per cent of Sunni and 62 per cent of Shia approve of attacks on US-led forces. This is the real explanation for the strength of the insurgency: it is widely popular.

...the refusal to admit, as the British army commander Sir Richard Dannatt pointed out, that the occupation generates resistance in Iraq, means that no new and more successful policy can be devised. It is this that is criminal.

The fantasy picture of Iraq purveyed by Mr Bush and Mr Blair is now being exposed. The Potemkin village they constructed to divert attention from what was really happening in Iraq is finally going up in flames.

But it is too late for the Iraqis, Americans and British who died because they were unwitting actors in this fiction, carefully concocted by the White House and Downing Street to show progress where there is frustration, and victory where there is only defeat.


Egypt Warns Israel That Attacks On Gaza Border Will Not Be Tolerated

China, Russia Refuse To Allow US To Include "Military Option" Wording In United Nations Sanctions, Resolutions On Iran

United States Claim Syria/Iran "Plot" To Overthrow Democracy In Lebanon

Kenyan, Ethiopian Troops Said To Be Gathering On Somalia Border

North Korea Defies US With Nuclear Test, But Offers Face-Saving Deal For New Talks To Begin

Israel Kills Dozens Of Palestinians In Gaza Operations - 12 Year Old Shot In Head By Sniper - Rockets Continue Landing In Israel

Saturday, November 04, 2006

NOW "FOUNDATIONS OF DEMOCRACY" ENOUGH FOR US TO PULL OUT OF IRAQ

HOW BUSH CO. USES INFORMATION MANAGEMENT TO CONTROL THE NEWS

The US Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice said the United States’ goal is to see an Iraqi government capable of providing basic services and security to its people.

“It does not mean that the United States has to be there until Iraq is a full-fledged democracy. That's going to take some time. But the foundation has to be laid for democracy in Iraq,” she said.

“We have to be sure that we're not turning the country over to al-Qaida. … We're not leaving a situation that is so chaotic that there is no one who can bring order.”
Consider the above and then consider the whole 'story' and quotes were sourced from the State Department's own 'International Information Programs' website.

This kind of crafted ready-to-use media story is little more than a creative press release. It's written like a basic newspaper article that some journos would see no need to rewrite. But it's propaganda. A soft-ball media release, stating a vastly downgraded definition of "stable Iraq".

In a transcript handily linked on the State Department. Secretary Rice gave an interview to 'Morning In America', where the host thanked her heapingly for consenting to an interview, praised her some more, then asked if he may talk to her about Iraq.

He asked if it was okay to talk about Iraq. No hard questions. The host stated his position clearly :
"We are big supporters of the president - this war."
Rice uses the interview to again spell out the Reality version of how the US will exit Iraq, even without the 'victory' celebration and the official opening of the George W. Bush Freedom Square in downtown Baghdad.
Secretary Rice : "The stakes are really for an Iraq that is stable and on a democratic path...
The interviewer, Bill Bennett, is a most gracious and accomodating host. He seemed to have run out of questions after a fast handful and gave Secretary Rice the floor :
"We have 30 secondss left. I'll let you say whatever you want - a message to the American people."
It was a message that included two references to 9/11, and one plea that the 'War On Terror' must continue, if only for the sake of "the children".

This is the way the Bush government, the UK Blair government and the Australian Howard government would love most media to be. Non-confrontational, no eye-bulging surprise questions, no dissent, nothing uncomfortable, no research, no problems.

The kind of journalists, or radio hosts, or TV interviewers, who would just say :

"Hell, I don't care, here's the mic, say whatever you want. You can do no wrong here. I can't even remember the distortions and deceptions you guys have pulled on the American people. Say what you want, your among friends here. This is Bush Country."

There will eventually no need for most of the journalists now employed by megapresence media entities like News Corp. Rupert Murdoch has said, many times, that he wants to see a future media filled with, if not dominated by, blogs.

But blogs can be built to be self-publishing, sucking in the latest information product and packaging it in a way that will pass the "plant" test for most who come across it.

The State Department are aggressively pursuing their "information management", and kindly now provide an RSS Feed option so you can have headlines from their 'Washington File' media product pipeline published in a neat box on your site.

Pure media product, with a touch of dissent amongst the pages and news portals, that seems real, seems to be the real thing, but at best are substance-free junk food for the mind.

You think you're getting something worthy of your attention, but they are stealing your time and dulling your brain.

In the meantime, Secretary Rice is downgrading Americans' expectations of what actually constitutes the "free and democratic" Iraq that needs to be in place before the US can exit the war.

A "stable Iraq" and a "stable government" is now enough for a low-ball victory to be declared.

If only the United States could get even these reduced expectations out of Iraq.

Islamists Beating US In WorldWide Web War For Influence, Impact, Propaganda.

Secretary Rice : Foundation Of Iraq Democracy Good Enough For Withdrawl


Rusmfeld Batters Reporters Asking Too Many Hard Questions With Logic, Spin And Twist-Think


Iran Is Needed To Stabilise Iraq : Why Iraq's Leaders Balk At US Demands
THE NUCLEAR MIDDLE EAST

NOW EVERYBODY WANTS THE BOMB


If you truly believe that Iran is not all that interested in nuclear power, and is only pursuing its "peaceful nuclear program" as a way of developing nuclear weapons technology, then you will probably be extremely disturbed to learn that another six Arab countries now want to nuke up as well.

Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, Alergia and the United Arab Emirates have announced they are all planning programmes to "master nuclear technology."

A Middle East nuclear arms race?

With the diplomatic chaos and fear unleashed by Iran's pursuit of nuclear energy, how are the US, Israel, the UK and Australia going to deal with this eventuality?

And does the West have the right to pursue nuclear energy and export uranium (Australia is doing both), while denying the "green energy future" to those in the Arab states?

Of course they don't have the right. And they are going to have a very, very hard time stopping these six states from pursuing nuclear technology.

It is also likely to become a wedge issue for Israel's relationship with the United States. How can the US criticise Iran and Saudi Arabia, for example, wishing to acquire nuclear energy technology, when they don't even publicly acknowledge that Israel has hundreds of nuclear weapons and has signed no international agreements in this regard?

The hypocrisy of how Australia, the US and the UK views is set to only become more gagging, as these six Arab countries move towards becoming fully-fledged nuclear states.

And don't expect Russia and China to back the US and the UK in the United Nations Security Council. They are both refusing to co-operate with the sanctions the US and the UK wish to impose upon Iran, and they are likely to continue using nuclear-energy seeking Arab states as a way to further criticise, humiliate and demoralise the United States on the world stage.

If the most powerful nations in the world cannot stop Iran and North Korea from gaining nuclear energy and/or nuclear weapons, how are they going to stop six Arab states?

The short answer is, they can't. And they won't.

Under international law, all six Arab states are allowed build civilian nuclear energy programs.

The West can make a lot of noise, get Israel to make a lot of threats, they can verbal sanctions and try to apply pressure, they can coax, and negotiate and offer incentives to not go nuclear, but these attempts will produce nothing in terms of decreasing the number of nuclear energy states in the world.

If they use the spin-metrics of Australia's prime minister, all six states could claim they are pursuing nuclear energy as a replacement to coal and oil burning energy production so as to do their bit in the fight against global warming.

It will be interesting to see whether in a decade or two, Australia (soon to be the world's largest exporter of uranium) will be selling nuclear fuel to, and recycling nuclear waste from, these six Arab states.

For now, Saudia Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia are free to build nuclear power stations and research facilities, as long as they make all such stations and facilities open to inspections from the International Atomic Energy Association, As Iran currently does.

From the Times Online :
The move, which follows the failure by the West to curb Iran’s controversial nuclear programme, could see a rapid spread of nuclear reactors in one of the world’s most unstable regions, stretching from the Gulf to the Levant and into North Africa.

....the sudden rush to nuclear power has raised suspicions that the real intention is to acquire nuclear technology which could be used for the first Arab atomic bomb.
The six Middle East states, meanwhile, have put forward plans to use nuclear power "primarily for desalinisation purposes".
The announcement by the six nations is a stunning reversal of policy in the Arab world, which had until recently been pressing for a nuclear free Middle East, where only Israel has nuclear weapons. Egypt and other North African states can argue with some justification that they need cheap, safe energy for their expanding economies and growing populations at a time of high oil prices.

The case will be much harder for Saudi Arabia, which sits on the world’s largest oil reserves.

Also from the Times Online :
It is one of the world’s most unstable regions, where conflicts over land, ideology and religion have raged for centuries. Yet the Middle East may now be entering the most precarious era of its history, with the sudden rush by Arabs, Iranians and Turks to master nuclear technology and one day unlock the secrets to the atomic bomb.

...the headlong race into the atomic age came as a shock. For months Arab leaders have been speaking out against nuclear proliferation in the region. Most wanted a nuclear-free zone to force Israel to give up its nuclear arsenal and to discourage Iran...

It is widely accepted that an Iran armed with nuclear weapons would fundamentally alter the balance of power in the region.

But even greater concern exists in Arab states. They fear the rise of Iran’s brand of Islam and the impact it is having on Shia brethren in countries such as Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states. An Iran that is a member of the nuclear club would have far more clout in the region.
Egypt and Turkey are believed to be already negotiating for Russia to supply and build at least six nuclear plants. This, then, makes it extremely unlikely that Russia would rule against nations it was supplying with nuclear technology in the UN's Security Council.

As this debate grows, you will repeatedly see the argument used that with so much oil in the Middle East, and in particular in Saudi Arabia, why would they then want to spend billions on nuclear energy? This argument is often used to prove that Iran, one of the world's top four oil producers, must be pursuing nuclear energy solely for the warheads.

But Iran has said it wants to move into nuclear energy so it can sell more of its oil to China. Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, could argue exactly the same.

We may be in the early days of an Arab nuclear super state, growing rich off increased oil sales to the West, locked deep into mega energy and technology deals worth hundreds of billions of dollars with Russia and China, while continuing to slowly drive the United States and its armies further and further out of the Middle East.

Israel may well claim that it could, if it wanted to, take out the Iranian nuclear energy and research facilities that they claim are being used to create nuclear weapons.

But Israel won't do it.

The United States has said it would "understand" if Israel felt they had to act pre-emptively in this way, but Russia has warned Israel there would be serious consequences if they choose to attack Russian interests in the region, which include primarliy the Iranian nuclear porgrams.

How then will Israel deal with six more nuclear Arab states?

They, literally, cannot nuke everybody.

Go Here For The Full Story
IRAQ : WHEN ANIMOSITY IS MUTUAL

MALIKI FIGHTS TO WREST POWER AND CONTROL FROM BUSH CO.

US SET TO BACK SUNNI RESISTANCE IN FIGHT AGAINST IRANIAN SHIITE DOMINATION OF IRAQ

IRAQ OIL CHIEFS AIM FOR SIX MILLION BARRELS PER DAY BY 2012



Everyone, it seems, is worried about something in Iraq.

The American military are worried about the fast-rising casualty rate for its soldiers (almost a thousand killed and wounded in October), and how often the Iraqi police, Army and the Shiite militias and death squads will attack their own allies.

The civilians are worried about whether they and/or their families will be blown up, executed, skull-drilled or tortured tomorrow.

The Sunni insurgents are worried about the Shiite death squads and attempts to "cleanse" Sunnis from Iraq, or at least Baghdad. Sunnis are also worried that Iraq will be split into three parts, and they will be cheated out of any share of the oil revenue.

The Shiite leaders, meanwhile, are worried that the United States is secretely backing the Sunni "resistance" to dismantle Iran's growing stranglehold over the country's power bases, now the Shiite-dominated government has failed to curb the violence and chaos after some six months ago.

From The Washington Times :

Iraq's ruling Shiites have voiced growing concern that the United States is subtly shifting support to Sunni Arabs, the bulwark of Saddam Hussein's dictatorship, in a bid to salvage 43-months of democracy building in Iraq and tamp down violence.

The perceived re-energized bid to draw the Sunni insurgency into Iraq's political process marks, in the eyes of anxious Shiites, a worrisome and major alteration of American policy in a period that has seen growing strains in the U.S.-Iraqi relationship.

The United States had relied heavily on the majority Shiite sect in its effort to construct a constitutional democracy to replace the Baath Party dictatorship that was wiped out when Saddam was chased from the Iraqi capital in the 2003 invasion.

Some Iraqi politicians apparently believe the US pulling support for the Shiites is also an essential part of the US exit strategy.

The United States has for decades maintained strong ties with moderate, Sunni-led Arab nations like Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan. Those time-tested alliances were meant in part to ward off the influence of Iran, which is run by a fundamentalist Shiite theocracy that is deeply hostile to Washington.

With that in mind, many saw the U.S.-Shiite alliance in Iraq as temporary and predicted that Washington would eventually disengage and return to look to old Arab allies to protect its interests in the region.

"The Americans realize now that the present formula of Shiite domination in Iraq will not help them leave," said Mustapha al-Ani, a Dubai-based Iraqi analyst. "They are looking for a new balance of power in Iraq."

US President Bush has told the public, and the Maliki government, that America does not have "endless patience" when it comes to Iraq.

But in public, Bush also defends the Iraq government, saying they've only had half a year to take control of the country and quell the sectarian wars. Behind the scenes, however, Bush is said to be furious about Iraq, viewing it as a lingering problem in which the US has lost power, control and influence.

Bush doesn't want the growing Bush Co. Vs Maliki Government fued to bust wide open, but it's becoming increasingly obvious that the more the US pushes the Iraqis for results, timelines and timetables, the more resistant, rebellious and aggressive is the reaction from Maliki's crew.

From the New York Times :

The cycle of discord and strained reconciliation that has broken into the open between Iraq's Shiite-led government and the Bush administration has revealed how wide the gulf has become between what the United States expects from the Baghdad government and what it is able or willing to deliver.

Just in the past 10 days, Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki has rejected the notion of an American “timeline” for action on urgent Iraqi political issues; ordered American commanders to lift checkpoints they had set up around the Shiite district of Sadr City to hunt for a kidnapped American soldier and a fugitive Shiite death squad leader; blamed the Americans for the deteriorating security situation in Iraq; and demanded speeded-up Iraqi control of its own military.

Without doubt, there has been an element of political grandstanding by Mr. Maliki that reflects his need to rally support among fractious Shiite political partners and the restive masses they represent.

****************************

Still, the differences between the new Shiite rulers and the Americans are real and growing. And the paradox of their animosity is that the primary beneficiary of the rift is likely to be their common enemy, the Sunni insurgents. Their aim has been to recapture the power the Sunnis lost with Mr. Hussein’s overthrow — and to repeat the experience of the 1920s, when Shiites squandered their last opportunity to wrest power and handed the Sunnis an opening to another 80 years of domination.

*************************

In the past week, Mr. Maliki has added a new, potentially incendiary grievance against the Americans. In interviews that preceded a placatory teleconference call with President Bush last weekend, he said the poor security situation across Iraq was the Americans’ fault, and demanded a more rapid transfer of command authority over the war.

He also asked for more funds to fight the violence and to rebuild.

Bush panicked when al-Maliki started demanding more money for security and dispatched a top national security advisor to go and placate the Iraq government. In only a few hours, while the Americans and Iraq officials met, seven US soldiers were killed and more than a dozen wounded in attacks across Baghdad.

It's almost like the United States is now being held to ransom by the Shiite-dominated Iraq government. Shiites who puhlicly maintain militias and death squads, now mostly targeting Sunnis and foreign Al Qaeda fighters.

Will the US death toll resulting from ambushes and attacks by Shiite-controlled militias and death squadsa increase until Bush Co. signs over tens of billions of dollars worth of rebuilding funds?


US Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice has recently predicted that Iraqis are likely to break up the oil revenue amongst the regional controls. Baghdad, then, would become home for a central government aiming to keep some kind of political unity in place, one that does not affect the flow of oil, or oil revenue.

From Bloomberg :
"They are not going to have such a centralized system with the use of that resource, and that's probably a good thing because we do know also that a centralized system around oil tends to produce corruption,'' Rice said...

*********************

The oil strategy outlined by Rice suggests a change in U.S. policy, according to Kenneth Katzman, a Middle East analyst for the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service in Washington. Up until now, "the U.S. policy has been for a strong, unified central government,'' Katzman said. "These remarks would appear to lean more toward those advocating regional autonomy.''

***************

What the U.S. is trying to avoid is `"all of those resources flowing into a central government in Iraq'' which "could become so powerful it would be able to repress other parts of Iraq...'

Oil production in Iraq for September was some two million barrels per day, estimated. But Iraqi oil officials have been meeting in Beiijing, looking for the kind of Chinese investment dollars that could boost that output to more than six million barrels per day, within six years, tripling the oil-derived income.

The largest oil fields and terminals from which to export the oil currently lie in the Shiite-dominated region of Southern Iraq.

The north of Iraq has plenty of oil as well, and the Kurds have already formed a means of self-government, and are actively pushing for an independent Kurdistan. Turkey remains deeply opposed to this action, while Israel quietly welcomes such independence, no doubt seeing a day coming sooner when they can have an oil pipeline running from Kirkuk, through Jordan and into Israel.

"There Has Never Been An American Army As Violent And Murderous As The One In Iraq"

Five US Soldiers Charged Over Rape, Murder, Cover-Up Of 14 Year Old Iraqi Girl - Six Year Old Sister, Mother, Father Also Murdered

Iraq's Snipers Forcing US To Cut Daylight Patrols And To "Dance" When Walking - Iraq Insurgents Use 'Spotters' To Watch American Troops And HotPhone Their Locations To Snipers

US And Iraqi Armies Brace For Saddam Hussein Trial Verdict - Most Iraqis More Worried About Satefy Of Their Families Than What Happens To Saddam

US Vice-President Cheney Claims "We're Doing The Right Thing" In Iraq War - Vows "Full Speed Ahead"

$250 Billion And Counting - Contractors In Iraq Rarely Held To Account For Failed Projects Or Mindblowing Levels Of Corruption - How Not Privatise War And Rebuilding


Iraqi Prime Minister Stands Up To US, Appears Defiant And Independent To Iraqis Who Distrust Americans

NeoCons Turn On Bush For Incompetency In Handling The Iraq War - War Supporters Depressed, Shocked, Angry, Grim


Iraqi Insurgents Target US Forces More Heavily Than Before - US Death Toll Climbs

Thursday, November 02, 2006

IRAQ WAR GROWS ONLY MORE BRUTAL

SUNNI INSURGENTS SURROUND BAGHDAD


From the UK Independent :

The country is being partitioned as militiamen fight bloody battles for control of towns and villages north and south of the capital.

As American and British political leaders argue over responsibility for the crisis in Iraq, the country has taken another lurch towards disintegration.

Well-armed Sunni tribes now largely surround Baghdad and are fighting Shia militias to complete the encirclement.

The Sunni insurgents seem to be following a plan to control all the approaches to Baghdad. They have long held the highway leading west to the Jordanian border and east into Diyala province. Now they seem to be systematically taking over routes leading north and south.

Dusty truck-stop and market towns such as Mahmoudiyah, Balad and Baquba all lie on important roads out of Baghdad. In each case Sunni fighters are driving out the Shia and tightening their grip on the capital. Shias may be in a strong position within Baghdad but they risk their lives when they take to the roads. Some 30 Shias were dragged off a bus yesterday after being stopped at a fake checkpoint south of Balad.

In some isolated neighbourhoods in Baghdad, food shortages are becoming severe. Shops are open for only a few hours a day. "People have been living off water melon and bread for the past few weeks," said one Iraqi from the capital. The city itself has broken up into a dozen or more hostile districts, the majority of which are controlled by the main Shia militia, the Mehdi Army.

The scale of killing is already as bad as Bosnia at the height of the Balkans conflict. An apocalyptic scenario could well emerge - with slaughter on a massive scale. As America prepares its exit strategy, the fear in Iraq is of a genocidal conflict between the Sunni minority and the Shias in which an entire society implodes. Individual atrocities often obscure the bigger picture where:

* upwards of 1,000 Iraqis are dying violently every week;

* Shia fighters have taken over much of Baghdad; the Sunni encircle the capital;

* the Iraqi Red Crescent says 1.5 million people have fled their homes within the country;

* the Shia and Sunni militias control Iraq, not the enfeebled army or police.

No target is too innocent. Yesterday a bomb tore through a party of wedding guests in Ur, on the outskirts of Sadr City, killing 15 people, including four children. Iraqi wedding parties are very identifiable, with coloured streamers attached to the cars and cheering relatives hanging out the windows.

Amid all this, Dick Cheney, the US Vice-President, has sought to turn the fiasco of Iraq into a vote-winner with his claim that the Iraqi insurgents have upped their attacks on US forces in a bid to influence the mid-term elections. There is little evidence to support this. In fact, the number of American dead has risen steadily this year from 353 in January to 847 in September and will be close to one thousand in October.

And there is growing confusion over the role of the US military. In Sadr City, the sprawling slum in the east of the capital that is home to 2.5 million people, American soldiers have been setting up barriers of cement blocks and sandbags after a US soldier was abducted, supposedly by the Mehdi Army. The US also closed several of the bridges across the Tigris river making it almost impossible to move between east and west Baghdad. Nouri al-Maliki, the Iraqi Prime Minister, added to the sense of chaos yesterday when he ordered the US army to end its Sadr City siege.

Mr Maliki has recently criticised the US for the failure of its security policy in Iraq and resisted American pressure to eliminate the militias. Although President Bush and Tony Blair publicly handed back sovereignty to Iraq in June 2004, Mr Maliki said: "I am now Prime Minister and overall commander of the armed forces yet I cannot move a single company without Coalition [US and British] approval."

In reality the militias are growing stronger by the day because the Shia and Sunni communities feel threatened and do not trust the army and police to defend them.

One eyewitness in Balad said two US gunships had attacked Shia positions on Sunday killing 11 people and seriously wounding six more, several of whom lost legs and arms. He added that later two Iraqi regular army platoons turned up in Balad with little military equipment. When they were asked by locals why their arms were so poor "the reply was that they were under strict orders by the US commander from the [nearby] Taji camp not to intervene and they were stripped of their rocket-propelled grenade launchers".

Another ominous development is that Iraqi tribes that often used to have both Sunni and Shia members are now splitting along sectarian lines.

In Baghdad it has become lethally dangerous for a Sunni to wander into a Shia neighbourhood and vice versa. In one middle-class district called al-Khudat, in west Baghdad, once favoured by lawyers and judges, the remaining Shia families recently found a cross in red paint on their doors. Sometimes there is also a note saying "leave without furniture and without renting your house". Few disobey.


MALIKI DEMANDED UNITED STATES LIFT THE SIEGE OF SADR CITY


From The Australian :

The order by Mr Maliki to lift the blockade of the Shia slum was one of the strongest signs of independence from an Iraqi leader since the 2003 invasion and follows a fortnight of escalating tensions between Iraqi and US officials, culminating in a weekend video conference between Mr Maliki and US President George W. Bush.

The US had established the Baghdad military blockades last week in their unsuccessful search for a missing US soldier of Iraqi descent.

The lifting of the barricades was hailed as a victory by supporters of Shia Muslim cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, whose Mahdi Army militia controls Sadr City and is suspected of kidnapping the US soldier.

According to American officers, the US crackdown on Sadr City had a second motive: the search for Abu Deraa, a man considered one of the most notorious death squad leaders. The soldier and Abu Deraa both were believed by the US military to be in the city.

Mr Maliki's action was the starkest sign yet of the Iraqi PM's differences with US officials, who have urged him to disarm Sadr's militia. Mr Maliki's hold on power depends at least partly on Sadr and his control of parliament's largest voting bloc.

The US departure yesterday set off celebrations among civilians and armed men in Sadr City, who declared victory for Sadr and his militia.

Mr Maliki's challenge to US conduct of the war was the latest in a series of acts designed to force the American hand and test Washington's readiness to give him a greater say in securing the world's most violent capital.

After the Bush administration unveiled a plan last week for Iraq's Government to adopt timelines for progress, especially in curbing violence, Mr Maliki rejected the timetable and accused Washington of infringing on national sovereignty. There was no doubt he was talking tough to show both the Americans and his political base that he would not be pushed around.

The Iraqi leader has also said he feels staunching bloodshed in Iraq might be better handled by Iraqi forces.

US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld endorsed a proposal yesterday to spend at least $US1 billion ($1.29 billion) to expand the size and accelerate the training and equipping of Iraqi security forces, underscoring the Bush administration's effort to shift more of the burden away from US troops.


From the New York Times :

Mr. Maliki’s public declaration seemed at first to catch American commanders off guard. But by nightfall, American troops had abandoned all the positions in eastern and central Baghdad that they had set up last week with Iraqi forces as part of a search for a missing American soldier. The checkpoints had snarled traffic and disrupted daily life and commerce throughout the eastern part of the city.

The language of the declaration, which implied that Mr. Maliki had the power to command American forces, seemed to overstep his authority and to be aimed at placating his Shiite constituency.

The withdrawal was greeted with jubilation in the streets of Sadr City, the densely populated Shiite enclave where the Americans have focused their manhunt and where anti-American sentiment runs high. The initial American reaction to the order, which was released by Mr. Maliki’s press office, strongly suggested that the statement had not been issued in concert with the American authorities.

On Wednesday, Mr. Maliki challenged an American assertion that the two governments had agreed on a timetable for stabilizing Iraq. On Thursday and Friday, he issued angry comments pointedly voicing his independence from the Americans, including an account circulated by his aide of an acrimonious meeting with Mr. Khalilzad, during which Mr. Maliki was said to have told the ambassador that he was “a friend of the United States, but not America’s man in Iraq.” On Saturday, the White House convened a videoconference at which Mr. Maliki publicly praised President Bush.

The abrupt declaration by Mr. Maliki on Tuesday followed a visit to Baghdad on Monday by President Bush’s national security adviser, Stephen J. Hadley, who was here to discuss how to reverse the country’s slide toward all-out civil war.

Within an hour of the statement, American troops had already begun pulling away from the checkpoints on the edge of Sadr City, according to witnesses, though Iraqi security forces remained behind. Lt. Col. Jonathan B. Withington, a military spokesman in Baghdad, said the order would affect only the checkpoints established in the last week, not all the checkpoints manned by Iraqi security forces.

Mr. Maliki’s order said that special security measures, such as the latest roadblocks, “will be carried out only during the curfew period and in emergencies.” It added: “Joint efforts to track down the terrorists and outlaws who jeopardize the lives of people by killing and kidnapping will continue.”


SHIAS NOW WORRY ABOUT US BACKING SUNNIS AGAINST THEM

From the UK Independent :

The growing differences between the US and the Iraqi government are rooted in the suspicion among leaders of the Shia community that the US would like to ally itself more closely with the Sunni Arabs, who have hitherto supported the insurgents.

In an unprecedented show of independence by an Iraqi prime minister, Nouri al-Maliki this week successfully demanded that the US abandon its siege of the great Shia bastion of Sadr City in east Baghdad. Its 2.5 million people celebrated the withdrawal of US checkpoints as an important political victory.

Outside Baghdad, Shia leaders claim that US helicopter gunships have repeatedly opened fire on the Mehdi Army, the Shia militia that supports the radical nationalist cleric Muqtada al-Sadr. The Mehdi Army has grown in strength as sectarian warfare between Sunni and Shia escalated after the attack on the Shia shrine in Samarra, in February of this year.

The US justifies its attacks on the Mehdi Army by accusing it of running death squads that kill Sunni. This is undoubtedly true, but the Mehdi Army also opposes the coalition's presence in Iraq. The Badr Organisation, the other large Shia militia, which also runs death squads, is seldom targeted by US forces. The differences between Mr Maliki and US representatives in Baghdad show that while Mr Maliki cannot survive without American support, they cannot do without him. Ironically, the US ambassador Zilmay Khalilzad spent months trying to get rid of Ibrahim al-Jaafari, Mr Maliki's predecessor.

The US has long been trying to conciliate the Sunni community, but despite talks with insurgent leaders in Jordan and Saudi Arabia, the US has yet to make any headway in negotiations to end the fighting. The danger for the US is that it may alienate the 60 per cent of the Iraqi population who are Shia without reaching an agreement with the 20 per cent who are Sunni Arabs.

While this year has seen a massive escalation of sectarian fighting, there has also been an increase in the number and effectiveness of attacks on US troops. Between 28 September and 31 October this year, US forces suffered 963 dead and wounded compared to 353 dead and wounded in January. The number of US soldiers killed make up about 13 per cent of casualties.

One reason US casualties have increased is that more soldiers were deployed in Baghdad in October in an attempt to gain control of the city.


OCTOBER CASUALTY DETAILS


From the Los Angeles Times :


For U.S. troops, October was a month of gritty skirmishes against fighters religiously motivated to risk their lives during the holy Muslim month of Ramadan.

October's death toll, the highest for American forces in nearly two years, came during a period without conventional battles or catastrophic helicopter crashes.

Rather, the 103 troops killed in Baghdad and across Iraq were victims of a steady onslaught of assaults, primarily by their longtime nemeses, Sunni Arab insurgents.

The number of attacks on American forces increased in October to unprecedented levels, U.S. military officials said.

"There has been a much more considered effort to specifically target coalition and Iraqi security forces," Army Maj. Gen. William B. Caldwell IV, the spokesman for U.S.-led forces in Iraq, told reporters in Baghdad as the month wore on. "There has been a steady increase in the number of attacks specifically against security forces."

There were 224 Iraqi security forces and 1,315 civilians killed in October.

It was a month in which U.S. forces were shot by snipers, struck by rocket-propelled grenades or lured into ambushes where they were sprayed with automatic-weapon fire from the AK-47s found in so many Iraqi homes.

But improvised explosive devices left along roads remained the weapon of choice for Iraq's anti-American insurgency.

Despite jamming devices, tactical adjustments and the increased armoring of military vehicles, at least 51 of the U.S. deaths resulted from makeshift bombs detonated by remote control from a comfortable distance.

At least 43 deaths occurred in Baghdad, indicating a shifting focus away from the Sunni heartland toward Iraq's capital "due to our more deliberate presence, more active involvement out there," Caldwell said last week.

U.S. forces were more exposed than usual in Baghdad because of an ongoing offensive aimed at taking back the streets from the forces of sectarian warfare — Sunni insurgents and Shiite Muslim militiamen, some allied with officials of the Shiite-dominated Iraqi government.

Though U.S. officials say the Shiite militias dominating Iraq's south pose the biggest long-term threat to the country's stability, the vast majority of the Americans were killed in Sunni-dominated areas.

The deaths in Baghdad occurred largely in Sunni-dominated neighborhoods on the west side. Thirty-seven American troops died west of Baghdad, in largely Sunni Al Anbar province. Sunni insurgents in the Euphrates River towns and cities of Iraq's desert hinterlands deem U.S. troops an occupation force and the Baghdad government, run by the nation's long-subjugated Shiite majority, little more than an American puppet.

The Marine Corps, unlike the Army, does not release information about the exact location or cause of deaths. Senior Marine officers think such information could help the enemy. The Marines, in public announcements, described at least 18 of the October deaths as "hostile" incidents in Al Anbar.

Most officials acknowledge that many of the Marine casualties in October occurred in Ramadi, the rundown provincial capital where insurgents have intimidated most Iraqi government workers into fleeing. Marines face daily threats from roadside bombs, snipers and assaults on their fortified bases.

"It's combat nearly every day," one Marine officer said, speaking on condition of anonymity. "Ramadi is where the terrorists want to establish their capital. They're armed and they're relentless."

Another 17 Americans were killed in Sunni Arab areas north of Baghdad, in and around the provincial capitals of Tikrit, Baqubah, Mosul and Kirkuk, where Kurds and Sunni Arabs are fighting for dominance.

October's death toll was the highest since the month preceding Iraq's Jan. 31, 2005, elections.


US AIR FORCE NEEDS MORE MONEY TO BRING HOME DEAD AND WOUNDED

From the Washington Post :

The U.S. Air Force is asking the Pentagon's leadership for a staggering $50 billion in emergency funding for fiscal 2007 -- an amount equal to nearly half its annual budget, defense analyst Loren Thompson of the Lexington Institute said on Tuesday.

The request is expected to draw criticism on Capitol Hill, where lawmakers are increasingly worried about the huge sums being sought "off budget" to fund wars, escaping the more rigorous congressional oversight of regular budgets.

Another source familiar with the Air Force plans said the extra funds would help pay to transport growing numbers of U.S. soldiers being killed and wounded in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Thompson, who has close ties to U.S. military officials, said the big funding request was fueled by Deputy Defense Secretary Gordon England. England told the services in a October 25 memo to include the "longer war on terror," not just the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, in their emergency requests.

"This amount of money is so much bigger than the Air Force would normally request ... it hints at a basic breakdown in the process for planning and funding war costs," said Thompson.

He said the Air Force had identified $30 billion just in past war-related costs that were not approved by the Pentagon.

The Air Force's proposed emergency budget is nearly half the $105.9 billion it requested as its total base budget for fiscal year 2007, which began on October 1.

The Air Force said it asked Pentagon officials for $17.4 billion in emergency war funds in August, but was now submitting "additional requirements to cover costs for the longer war against terror," based on England's memo.

The Army, which got the lion's share of an initial $70 billion supplemental budget passed by Congress last month, is asking for more than $80 billion in additional funds for the second half of fiscal 2007, according to published reports. The Navy is also expected to seek funds for the Marine Corps.

With the latest bill passed last month, Congress has approved about $507 billion in spending for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, under some 13 "emergency" spending requests, according to the Congressional Research Service.

That compares to two supplemental requests made during 11 years of fighting in Vietnam several decades ago, and just one request for the Korean War, according to a congressional aide.


SEYMOUR HERSH ON MOST KILLINGEST US ARMY EVER

From the MaGill Daily :
The bad news,” investigative reporter Seymour Hersh told a Montreal audience last Wednesday, “is that there are 816 days left in the reign of King George II of America.”

The good news?

“When we wake up tomorrow morning, there will be one less day.”

During his hour-and-a-half lecture – part of the launch of an interdisciplinary media and communications studies program called Media@McGill – Hersh described video footage depicting U.S. atrocities in Iraq, which he had viewed, but not yet published a story about.

He described one video in which American soldiers massacre a group of people playing soccer.

“Three U.S. armed vehicles, eight soldiers in each, are driving through a village, passing candy out to kids,” he began. “Suddenly the first vehicle explodes, and there are soldiers screaming. Sixteen soldiers come out of the other vehicles, and they do what they’re told to do, which is look for running people.”

“Never mind that the bomb was detonated by remote control,” Hersh continued. “[The soldiers] open up fire; [the] cameras show it was a soccer game.”

“About ten minutes later, [the soldiers] begin dragging bodies together, and they drop weapons there. It was reported as 20 or 30 insurgents killed that day,” he said.

If Americans knew the full extent of U.S. criminal conduct, they would receive returning Iraqi veterans as they did Vietnam veterans, Hersh said.

“In Vietnam, our soldiers came back and they were reviled as baby killers, in shame and humiliation,” he said. “It isn’t happening now, but I will tell you – there has never been an [American] army as violent and murderous as our army has been in Iraq.”

Hersh came out hard against President Bush for his involvement in the Middle East.
“In Washington, you can’t expect any rationality. I don’t know if he’s in Iraq because God told him to, because his father didn’t do it, or because it’s the next step in his 12-step Alcoholics Anonymous program,” he said.

Hersh hinted that the responsibility for the invasion of Iraq lies with eight or nine members of the administration who have a “neo-conservative agenda” and dictate the U.S.’s post-September 11 foreign policy.

“You have a collapsed Congress, you have a collapsed press. The military is going to do what the President wants,” Hersh said. “How fragile is democracy in America, if a president can come in with an agenda controlled by a few cultists?”

This remarkable story from the Washington Post details some of the safe-from-the-headlines news that completely underlines how out of control Iraq, and Baghdad in particular, has become.

Iraqi police are ambushing, and killing US soldiers, Militias have utterly infiltrated Baghdad police force and US soldiers are wondering if they should even been teaching some of their 'students' :
"How can we expect ordinary Iraqis to trust the police when we don't even trust them not to kill our own men?" asked Capt. Alexander Shaw, head of the police transition team of the 372nd Military Police Battalion, a Washington-based unit charged with overseeing training of all Iraqi police in western Baghdad. "To be perfectly honest, I'm not sure we're ever going to have police here that are free of the militia influence."
And this :

The Iraqi police are not the only ones who feel unsafe. The American soldiers and civilians who train the Iraqis are constantly on guard against the possibility that the police might turn against them. Even in the police headquarters for all of western Baghdad, one of the safest police buildings in the capital, the training team will not remove their body armor or helmets. An armed soldier is assigned to protect each trainer.

"I wouldn't let half of them feed my dog," 1st Lt. Floyd D. Estes Jr., a former head of the police transition team, said of the Iraqi police. "I just don't trust them."

Jon Moore, the deputy team chief, said: "We don't know who the hell we're teaching: Are they police or are they militia?"

With some of the Americans now training police in Baghdad saying that it may take three or four decades for the militia influence to be voided from the police force. Other American trainers think the militias will always infiltrate the police.
Moore estimated it would take 30 to 40 years before the Iraqi police could function properly, perhaps longer if the militia infiltration and corruption continue to increase. His colleagues nodded.

Friday, October 20, 2006

IRAN THE WAR OF NO WAR RAGES ON

From the London Times :

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the outspoken Iranian President, has accused Europe of stirring up hatred in the Middle East by supporting Israel, warning that it "may get hurt" if anger in the region reached a tipping point.



While the President has frequently been vocal in his criticism of the US and Israel, he has rarely directed a specific attack on Europe. In recent weeks however, European nations - previously open to the prospect of negotiations - have been hardening their stance towards Tehran.

Last night it emerged that France, Germany and Britain were close to agreeing the finishing touches of a draft UN Security Council resolution on sanctions against Iran for its refusal to halt its programme of uranium enrichment. Mr Ahmadinejad’s comments came as diplomats said they expected the resolution to be introduced next week.

"You should believe that this regime (Israel) cannot last and has no more benefit to you. What benefit have you got in supporting this regime, except the hatred of the nations?" said Mr Ahmadinejad, addressing European countries in a speech on state radio.

"We have advised the Europeans that the Americans are far away, but you are the neighbours of the nations in this region. We inform you that the nations are like an ocean that is welling up, and if a storm begins, the dimensions will not stay limited to Palestine, and you may get hurt."

With its influence in the Middle East, Iran could stir unrest in areas in which European forces are located, including southern Lebanon, where militant group Hezbollah have a large presence and where French peacekeeping troops are stationed. Iranian-backed militias in southern Iraq, where British troops are based, are also a source of concern.

Later today, Mr Ahmadinejad returned to familiar rhetoric denouncing Israel and threatening any country which supported the Jewish state.

"You imposed a group of terrorists ... on the region," he told a crowd of thousands at a pro-Palestinian rally in Tehran. "It is in your own interest to distance yourself from these criminals... This is an ultimatum. Don’t complain tomorrow. Nations will take revenge."

Mr Ahmadinejad said that Israel no longer had any reason to exist and would soon be no more. "This regime, thanks to God, has lost the reason for its existence," he said. "Efforts to stabilize this fake regime, by the grace of God, have completely failed... You should believe that this regime is disappearing."

He reaffirmed Iran’s refusal to back down over its nuclear ambitions despite the threat of sanctions, which he referred to as "illegitimate".

"Iran is ready to negotiate but will not tolerate the slightest pressure, he said, adding that on his recent visit to UN headquarters in New York he had dared Western nations to close their own nuclear fuel programmes and let Iran supply the material.

"I told them ’You shut down (your nuclear programmes) and we will produce fuel from the fuel cycle in five years time and sell it to you at a 50 per cent discount," he said.

While there is agreement amongst the five permanent members of the UN Security Council on the need for sanctions against Tehran, a key difficulty in passing any resolution will be in finding consensus from China and Russia on the exact measures imposed. Both have important economic ties to Iran and have traditionally been reluctant to use sanctions as a diplomatic tool.

Today, Li Zhaoxing, the Chinese Foreign Minister, insisted that Beijing would play a constructive role on the issue, but did not reveal the extent to which it would support measures imposed.

Officials in Washington said a first set of punitive sanctions was likely to focus on banning the supply of material and funding for Iran’s ballistic missile and nuclear programs. Other steps could include the freezing of assets and travel bans on nuclear and weapons scientists.

INTRODUCING THE GRENADE 'MACHINE GUN'



The above weapon is being touted as capable of launching six high explosive grenades per second, and able to accurately take-out targets some 1.5 miles away, in daylight or night-time.

Considering this grenade 'machine gun' is being touted in the UK Daily Mail, you can rest assured it has already had full field tests in Iraq and Afghanistan.

From the Daily Mail :

Unveiling the new Automatic Lightweight Grenade Launcher ministers promised a 'significant enhancement in firepower' following mounting concerns over the size and strength of the force which Britain has committed to operations in the volatile southern Helmand Province.

Sources described the system as a 'small artillery piece in all but name', which can be mounted on a Land Rover for rapid movement.

Commanders are hoping it will prove ideal for tackling groups of heavily-armed Taliban fighters who mount lighting strikes against British camps and patrols before melting back into the rugged landscape.

It can be mounted on a tripod to defend airstrips or camps or fitted to a Land Rover for mobile patrols. Some infantry troops already carry grenade launchers fitted to their assault rifles, but the larger weapon has a far greater range and rate of fire.
Will it make that much of a difference in Iraq or Aghanistan? Perhaps, if the enemy was lined up in formation on the far side of the battlefield, but the biggest problem for all coalition forces in the 'War On Terror' has actually been finding the enemy.

The new weapon should prove effective, however, in clearing out suspect houses from a distance, or taking out vehicles well out of range of enemy fire.

Thursday, October 19, 2006

THE WORLD AT WAR IN BRIEF

(click the headlines for the story links)

NORTH KOREA SAYS UN SANCTIONS WILL BE TAKEN TO BE "AN ACT OF WAR"

Even before the UN Security Council imposed sanctions against North Korea have been truly acted upon, North Korea is warning that cutting off military, nuclear, financial and "luxury goods" supplies are being viewed by the Stalinist regime of Kim Jong-Il as something of a war declaration.

China and Russia have already backed off imposing the true scope of the sanctions, and are casually warning the US, in particular, not to apply further pressure over the issue.

China Warns Against "Wilfully Expanding" Sanctions Against North Korea

US & Japan Build Up Naval Blockade Of North Korea Under Cover Of "Exercise"

US Promises 'Nuclear Umbrella' For South Korea

China And United States Want Different Things From North Korea


NINE PARADOXES OF THE LOST WAR IN IRAQ

An Asia Times report chewing over the counter-insurgency options available to the US in Iraq, and the pros and cons for each. Interesting reading :
Suggestions are rife for dumping (President Bush's) goal of "democracy" in Iraq and swallowing a little of the hard stuff. Reports indicate that in two desperate capitals, Washington and Baghdad, rumors about possible future Iraqi coups are spinning wildly. People of import are evidently talking about the possibility of a new five-man "ruling commission", a "government of national salvation" that would "suspend parliament, declare martial law and call back some officers of the old Iraqi army". Even the name of that Central Intelligence Agency warhorse (and anti-neo-conservative candidate) Iyad Allawi, who couldn't get his party elected dogcatcher in the new Iraq, is coming up again in the context of the need for a "strongman".
Young Shiite Militia Men Splitting Into Heavily Radicalised "Cells"

UK Forces To Be Out Of Iraq By End Of 2007, Blair Tells House Of Commons


RICE SAYS UNITED STATES READY TO USE "ITS FULL MILITARY MIGHT" TO DEFEND JAPAN

There are very real fears in Washington that Japan and Taiwan will use the threat of a nuclear-armed North Korea to push forward on nuclear weapons programs of their own. Japan has assured Washington it doesn't want nukes, Taiwan has said little. But what worries Washington the most is how China will respond if these two countries pursue nuclear weapons.
Ms. Rice's reference to U.S. willingness to honor the "full range" of the nation's security commitments was meant as a signal to allies that the United States does not want to see them embarking on a new nuclear arms race to protect themselves. It was also likely to be taken as a reminder to North Korea that, should it use nuclear weapons on a neighbor, the U.S. has powerful forces of its own - including nuclear - and is pledged to defend its friends in the region.

TAMIL TIGERS LAUNCH SUICIDE BOMBING ATTACKS NEAR SRI LANKAN TOURIST DISTRICT
Tamil Tiger rebels posing as fishermen blew up two of their boats today in the first suicide attack to target an area of Sri Lanka's southern coast popular with tourists.

Sir Lanka's government said at least one sailor had been killed, another two were missing and at least 14 civilians and 12 sailors were wounded.

A violent backlash by the majority Sinhalese against Tamil civilians could strengthen the Tigers' claim that the Tamil people can live in peace only if they achieve a separate homeland.

On Monday, a rebel suicide bomber rammed a truck filled with explosives into a military bus convoy in central Sri Lanka, killing at least 95 sailors and wounding more than 150 others in the deadliest insurgent attack since a 2002 ceasefire temporarily halted the country's civil war.

Last Wednesday, fierce battles on the besieged northern Jaffna peninsula killed at least 129 soldiers and more than 200 rebels, and left hundreds of others wounded.

The Tamil Tigers have been fighting since 1983 for a separate homeland for the Tamil minority in the north and east, citing decades of discrimination by the Sinhalese.

Prior to the 2002 ceasefire, some 65,000 people had been killed in the conflict.


AUSTRALIA'S CHIEF SPY AGENCY WARNS THEY CANNOT STOP ALL TERROR ATTACKS

It is unrealistic fo the public to expect ASIO to prevent all terrorist attacks, and it is inevitable that some threats from extremists will remain hidden from the spy agency, says its director-general, Paul O'Sullivan.

The assessment....is the most pessimistic yet from Mr O'Sullivan, who has previously said only that an attack here was "feasible".

The remarks came as ASIO published its annual report, highlighting threats to national security including potential jihadist attacks, Jemaah Islamiah and divisions in Sydney's Islamic community over the Iraq war.

Mr O'Sullivan said terrorists were becoming more sophisticated, could attack almost anywhere, were driven by an absolute commitment and were using advances in technology and the ease of international travel to pursue their goals.


SOLOMONS ISLANDS' PRIME MINISTER WARNS AUSTRALIA TO BACK OFF


While the Australian Federal Police's pursuit of a known pedophile from the Solomon Islands to Papua New Guinea and back to the Solomons again is extremely important, the constant barrage of verbal attacks, threats and insults from both the Australian prime minister and the Australian foreign minister have made a mockery of South Pacific diplomacy.

There's a particular ugly, and old world, imperialistic tone to recent comments by Australia's PM and FM, as though they can't believe the leaders of the Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea would act so defiantely, or so independently.

However, China is more than ready to take the place of Australia in the region, and has made strong inroads into the business communities of the Solomons and Papua New Guinea, something the Australian government is all too well aware of.

The Solomons Prime Minister, Manasseh Sogavare, has accused Australia of trying to undermine his government and warned that he would "deal with" the Australians serving as police commissioner and solicitor-general.

He said Australia was guilty of the unwarranted arrest and "humiliation" of his immigration minister over the smuggling of the fugitive Australian lawyer Julian Moti into the country.

He also threatened to expel more than 200 Australian police and soldiers - only hours after his foreign minister tried to soften a similar threat made in Parliament last Friday.


ISRAEL'S OLMERT TRIES TO GET RUSSIA'S PUTIN TO ACT ON IRANIAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM


Russia is helping to build Iran's nuclear energy program and does not believe, as Israel continually insists, that Iran is working on a nuclear weapons program.

Neither does the International Atomic Energy Association, who recently harshly criticised Israel backed US senators for circulating "misleading" reports about Iran's intentions and nuclear weapons technological capabilities.

But Israel keeps on pushing.
Israel's Prime Minister has urged Russia to join ranks against Iran's nuclear program.

Speaking in Moscow after talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said the entire international community should unite to block what he called Iran's intention to build nuclear weapons.

...in a joint news conference Wednesday, Mr. Putin said nothing about Iran's nuclear program. He said Russia wants to help restart peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians.

Israel's Siege Of Gaza Enters Fifth Month - Hundreds Of Civilians Killed - New Offensive On The Horizon

Lebanon Says Israel Greater Nuclear Threat Than Iran - Israel Alleged To Be Hiding At Least 200 Nukes

Israel's Militarised Men Coming To Terms With New Age Of Sexual Harrassment Laws - 18 And 19 Year Old Secretary Pools Once Regarded As "Harems"

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

RUMSFELD'S "SECRET PLAN" FOR AMERICAN GLOBAL DOMINANCE

One of the most remarkable documents uncovered by Washington DC investigative journalist Bob Woodward for his new book 'State Of Denial' is also one of the least discussed.

The document, "Illustrative New 21st Century Institutions And Approaches, is a memo from US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, issued and circulated on May 1. Rumsfeld is a notorious memoist, who turns out endless lists of questions and advice and lists about whatever has crossed his mind.

These memos are dispatched throughout the Pentagon and Rumsfeld is said to expect feedback, on all of them, much to the annoyance of many senior Pentagon officials and staff.

We will return to discuss the implications of this 'plan' later, but for now have a read of it for yourself.

From the Washington Post :

1. Transformation of international institutions.

Today the world requires new international organizations tailored to new circumstances. Many of the more pressing threats are global and transnational in scope. Terrorism proliferation, cyber crime, narcotics, piracy, hostage-taking, criminal gangs, etc. Because they cannot be dealt with successfully by any one nation alone, the cooperation of many nations will be vital.

Current institutions such as the UN, NATO, OAS, the African Union, ECOWAS, ASEAN and the European Union, to mention a few, were designed at a time when the world's challenges were notably different. Some were formed over half a century ago to further U.S. foreign and security policy purposes.

Today, as U.S. goals in the world at large have changed, existing international institutions have failed to adapt sufficiently. Effective international organizations are needed to bring competence to such areas as quick reaction forces, military training, military police training, counterproliferation, capacity building for the rule of law, governance and domestic ministries. This may require institutions designed for those purposes rather than struggling to reform existing institutions to take on tasks for which they are ill suited.

Examples . . . Peacekeeping and governance. The world and the U.S. would benefit from a "global peace operations and governance corps." A standing capability is needed ready to respond rapidly to deal with emerging situations before they spin out of control. Such a capability would have been useful in just the past few years in Liberia, Haiti and perhaps Sudan.

The U.S. and like-thinking nations could help to enable such a capability by training, equipping and sustaining peacekeepers with military and police capability, perhaps organized regionally in considerably greater numbers than are currently available. . .

Similarly, the U.S. and our friends and allies could help organize and train cadres of international professionals who can assist emerging governments in areas of governance and ministry building. The cost-benefit ratio of being prepared in advance and in benefiting from the use of several nations' troops rather than using solely US military forces would be substantial.

2. Regional challenges. Mideast security initiative.

The threat Iran is posing and will likely continue to pose argues that it may well be time to form a new collective security arrangement for the Middle East and/or the Arabian Sea. Already one or two Middle East nations appear to be wondering if they should develop nuclear programs.

This is the moment first to reassure key friends of U.S. commitment to shield them from nuclear blackmail through declaratory policy; and second, to find other ways to strengthen cooperation with them. Egypt and Saudi Arabia are the key. The U.S. needs to bolster Arab moderates now while they are viable. Some Gulf states are leaning well forward on this idea. . . .

3. A Goldwater-Nichols process for the national security portions of the U.S. government.

The 1986 Goldwater-Nichols legislation led to greater jointness and interdependence in the Department of Defense among the 4 services, but it has taken 20 years to begin to fully realize its potential. The broader [U.S. government] structure is still in the industrial age and it is not serving us well. It is time to consider a new Hoover Commission to recommend ways to reorganize both the executive and legislative branches, to put us on a more appropriate path for the 21st century.

Only a broad, fundamental reorganization is likely to enable federal departments and agencies to function with the speed and agility the times demand. The charge of incompetence against the U.S. government should be easy to rebut if the American people understand the extent to which the current system of government makes competence next to impossible.

Foreign assistance. The present structure of the U.S. government foreign assistance is an anachronism. A system is needed that recognizes assistance for what it really is, a component of our national security strategy. In simple terms, DOD has resources but not authorities, while State has authorities but not resources. . . . The only choice is to trash the current laws and to undertake a total overhaul of the current systems.

Strategic communications . . . A new U.S. agency for global communication could serve as a channel to inform, educate and compete in the battle for ideas. . . .

Today the centers of gravity of the conflict in Iraq and the global war on terror are not on battlefields overseas. Rather, the center of gravity of this war are on the centers of public opinion in the U.S. and in the capitals of free nations.

The gateways to those centers are the international media hubs and the capitals of the world. [Ayman al-] Zawahiri has said that 50 percent of the current struggle is taking place in the arena of public information. That may be an understatement.

Osama bin Laden, Zawahiri, [Abu Musab al-] Zarqawi had media committees that consistently outpace our ability to respond. When the U.S. government tries to compete in the communications arena it runs up against lack of national consensus and understanding about what means are acceptable to the media and to the Congress and disagreements as to what is legal. . . .


Why hasn't such an extraordinary document by one of the key players in the failure of the 'War On Iraq' recieved more attention, and discussion?

It's hard to find, or think of, an explanation.

In short, Rumsfeld wants to establish a sort of Global Police/Fast Response Military Force; he wants to "trash" the laws of the American Congress and rewrite the US Constitution for the benefit of the Pentagon and the Department of Defence; he wants to ferment further chaos in the Middle East by pitting moderate Muslims against extremists and jihadists; he wants to come up with new methods of controlling the flow of global information and in particular ensure the US has a key role in controlling information and media critical of the US and its foreign policies; and he wants the rules of foreign assistance rewritten so countries recieving American aid use it to secure America's interests in their region.

One of the most remarkable Bush Co. documents to reach the public in recent years. Easily.

And maybe that's why this document has been so widely ignored, even by those extremely critical of Rumsfeld's tenure at the Pentagon.

Maybe the whole memo is just too over-the-top, too outrageous, for most people to seriously contemplate. Let alone write about and discuss in detail.

But it is a vital document, and it is full of good ideas, regardless of how distatesful some may find the thought of American foreign aid merely being a method of extending US control and influence in the world, and Rumsfeld demanding, in short, more bang for the bucks.

This memo is also likely to spark some dramatic changes in the way the United States government not only deals with the rest of the world, but the way the Pentagon and the Department of Defence run their media and propaganda strategies.

That is, of course, if Rumsfeld still actually remains an influential member of the Bush Co. and the Pentagon, or whether he is simply biding his time until the mid-term US election are over, so he can leave office without causing further damage to the Republicans' slim chances of holding onto control of the Congress.


Rumsfeld : Terror Threat Has Not Been Exaggerated


More Time Is Needed To Win The War On Terror, Says Defence Secretary
The New Global Nuclear Order

North Korea has detonated a nuclear bomb. Are we at the beginning of a new age of nuclear weapons states?

From the LA Times :

North Korea's announcement of a test follows ones by India and Pakistan in 1998. The rise of a new generation of nuclear states has led to increasing concerns that others could follow, and fueled fears that the more countries with nuclear capability, the greater the risk that fissile material will fall into terrorist hands.

"We are, at present, at the unraveling of the nonproliferation regime and the global nuclear order that we've taken for granted," said Graham Allison, a former assistant secretary of Defense under President Clinton, who directs the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University. "This is a huge event whose importance may only become evident in five years….

"In terms of global order, global nuclear order, this is a nuclear blast," he said.

On Saturday, the United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted a resolution imposing sanctions on North Korea for its declared nuclear test Monday.

But China's reluctance to take part in inspections of North Korean cargo to help stop the flow of weapons materials throws into doubt how effective the sanctions can be.

Policymakers point to three levels of problems with the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, which has been in force for 36 years: weaknesses in the treaty itself, at the political level in the Security Council, and at the technical level in the ability of nuclear inspectors to detect undisclosed nuclear programs.

Countries that had nuclear weapons when the treaty went into effect — the United States, Russia, Britain, France and China — were allowed to keep them, whereas others were asked to forswear them.

The "haves" made the commitment to reduce and eventually eliminate their arsenals, and the "have-nots" agreed not to seek atomic weapons as long as they could have the advantages of nuclear technology for peaceful purposes.

Nuclear technology is such that once a country masters uranium enrichment, it is relatively easy to go from low-level enrichment, which produces fuel for nuclear power plants, to high-level enrichment, which produces material used for a bomb.

Although 187 countries have signed the treaty, some developing nations are skeptical of the intentions of the five original nuclear states and are reluctant to give up the option of enriching uranium, leaving the door cracked to nuclear weapons capability.

There are now about 27,000 nuclear warheads worldwide — the vast majority in the U.S. and Russia. And most of the five original nuclear states have moved to modernize or, in China's case, expand their arsenals.

Countries that have pursued nuclear capability outside the treaty or by hiding their programs have, after an initial distancing by the international community, gone unpunished over the long term.

Three countries — India, Pakistan and Israel — refused to sign the treaty. Pakistan and India have developed nuclear weapons, and Israel is thought to have them.

All three enjoy the favor and respect of world leaders, setting an example of what countries can get when they acquire nuclear weapons.

India and Pakistan, initially sanctioned over their nuclear tests, have seen the bans diminish, and India has been offered a multibillion-dollar deal with the United States that includes nuclear technology. The agreement has not been approved by the U.S. Senate.

Two other countries have refused to abide by the treaty, although they signed it: Iran and North Korea. The latter withdrew from the treaty three years ago. Neither nation has suffered significant consequences for refusing to comply.


From the New York Times :

The declaration last Monday by North Korea that it had conducted a successful atomic test brought to nine the number of nations believed to have nuclear arms. But atomic officials estimate that as many as 40 more countries have the technical skill, and in some cases the required material, to build a bomb.

That ability, coupled with new nuclear threats in Asia and the Middle East, risks a second nuclear age, officials and arms control specialists say, in which nations are more likely to abandon the old restraints against atomic weapons.

The spread of nuclear technology is expected to accelerate as nations redouble their reliance on atomic power. That will give more countries the ability to make reactor fuel, or, with the same equipment and a little more effort, bomb fuel — the hardest part of the arms equation.

Signs of activity abound. Hundreds of companies are now prospecting for uranium where dozens did a few years ago. Argentina, Australia and South Africa are drawing up plans to begin enriching uranium, and other countries are considering doing the same. Egypt is reviving its program to develop nuclear power.

Concern about the situation led the International Atomic Energy Agency to summon hundreds of government officials and experts from around the world to Vienna in September to discuss tightening restrictions on who is permitted to produce nuclear fuel.

“These dangers are urgent,” Sam Nunn, an expert on nuclear proliferation and a former Democratic senator, told the group. “We are in a race between cooperation and catastrophe and, at this moment, the outcome is unclear.”