Thursday, February 08, 2007

BATTLE OF NAJAF REVISITED

Clearly the masters of spin have done a truly brilliant job in disguising the facts about the massacre of Najaf.

It would appear that storymakers in Iraq and the US are working in smooth, crisp conjunction to make sure that as long as the majority of people who were interested in this were paying attention, that they were fed the easy-to-swallow myths of messianic cults, political assassination conspiracies and a general slew of 'crazy Iraqis' slurs.

One of the first questions raised by mainstream media columnists and a storm of comment board 'operatives' was : If they weren't up to no good, why were so many of them walking around at night?

It immediately seeded doubt in the minds of Americans, Brits and Australians, in particular, because we don't understand that travel by night in the the Middle East (and across Africa) is a commonplace activity.

They only needed to cover up the truth for 48 hours at the most, because within two days another Iraq story would grab the headlines.

It is truly remarkable, although not surprising, just how quickly a massacre of a few hundred Iraqi women, children and men becomes just another story.

Particularly when you consider the emphasis placed by historians like Niall Ferguson on massacres of 20 or 40 civilians in villages in Europe during the early days of World War 2.

Iraq is seeing 'pogroms' claiming hundreds of lives ten or twelve times every single month.

From Chris Floyd :

It has been cast as a ferocious battle against a mighty opponent: a fanatical "apocalyptic cult" storming the holy city of Najaf with hundreds of warriors led by a self-proclaimed Islamic Messiah, their frenzy quelled only at the last moment by a massive intervention of American firepower. But as with so much else in the blood-soaked annals of the Bush Administration's disastrous Babylonian Conquest, it appears this neat story masks a far grimmer, grubbier truth: a mass slaughter of civilians, caught in the toxic fog of hair-trigger tension, sectarian hatred and violent political ambition unleashed by the U.S. invasion.

The January 28 clash in Najaf was, the New York Times proclaimed, the greatest one-day battle in Iraq since the fall of Baghdad in 2003. Some 200-400 "cultists" were killed by Iraqi troops and the American air and ground forces that came to their rescue when the apocalyptics – whose ranks included Baathists and al Qaeda terrorists – nearly overran the Iraqi government troops, according to the NYT and other Western media.

The "bizarre" and "extraordinary" attack by the obscure but massively armed "Soldiers of Heaven" Shiite splinter group was an attempt to kill the leading clerics in the sacred city, including Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the spiritual leader of millions of Iraqi Shiites, we were told. This massacre would supposedly usher in the reign of the Mahdi, the Islamic Messiah-figure which many Shiites believe is coming to redeem – and judge – the world. For hours on end, the outgunned and ill-trained Iraqi government soldiers held off the swarming zealots until American planes began bombing raids on the cult's entrenched positions in the groves outside Najaf and U.S. troops marched in to bolster the flagging locals.

It was indeed a rousing tale of carnage, courage and fearsome zeal, fit for one of Mel Gibson's cinematic bloodbaths. Yet in the days following the attack, it has became increasingly apparent that the story being presented in the Western media – based largely on accounts from Iraqi government officials and the Pentagon – has about as much historical accuracy as Gibson's ersatz epics.

To be fair, it's no wonder that Western accounts of the fighting were confused, as they relied on the "bizarre" and "extraordinary" – and wildly varying – accounts from officials of the Bush-backed Iraqi government. For example, one of the primary sources for the New York Times' story of the battle – which no Western reporters were allowed to witness – was Abdul Hussein Abtan, the deputy governor of Najaf province, and a member of one of the Iranian-backed, armed sectarian factions that George W. Bush has empowered in Baghdad, the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI). During a press conference aired on Al-Iraqiya television, Abted first claimed that the "foreign-funded" cult was led by a Lebanese, then later said its leader was an Iraqi. As Zayed notes, none of the journalists present questioned the contradiction.

In his latest report, Zayed details the bewildering array of versions offered up by factions connected with the Iraqi government. It was followers of controversial cleric Motqada al-Sadr who first identified the Najaf "attackers" as members of the cult. The Sadrists, buttressed by spokesmen in the Iraqi Health Ministry, which they control, also asserted that the group was planning to kidnap, not kill, Sistani, Sadr and other top Shiite clerics. It was also the Sadrists who claimed that the attackers were working with al Qaeda and Saddam loyalists, "and that they received logistical and monetary backing from Saudi Arabia." They said the sect's leader was an Iraqi named Dhiaa' Abdul Zahra Kadhim.

Meanwhile, SCIRI members, buttressed by the Najaf provincial government, which they control, said that more than 1,000 terrorists were killed in the battle, and that some 200 "brainwashed women and children" were detained and "removed to another place," presumably for deprogramming. SCIRI officials differed on the number of terrorists captured in the battle; one said 50, another said 16, yet another said "hundreds" were detained. It was SCIRI that advanced the notion that the attack aimed to kill the clerics, not capture them. Various SCIRI officials said the cult's leader was a) the aforesaid unnamed Lebanese national; b) Dhiaa’ Abdul Zahra Kadhim, as in the Sadrist account; c) a renegade Sadrist named Ahmed Kadhim Al-Gar’awi Al-Basri ; d) another renegade Sadrist named Ahmed Hassan al-Yamani; e) a self-proclaimed messiah named Ali bin Ali bin Abi Talib.

A SCIRI member of the Najaf governing council also claimed that "the leader of this group had links with the former regime elements since 1993. Some of the gunmen brought their families with them in order to make it easier to enter the city," Associated Press reports. An Iraqi army officer, sectarian affiliation unknown, added that Lebanese, Egyptians and Sudanese were taken prisoner in the battle – though none of these foreign fighters have yet been produced. And just for good measure, Najaf's SCIRI governor, As’ad Abu Gilel, said the attackers were Sunni insurgents, planning to attack Shiite pilgrims on their way to mark the festival of Ashura in Najaf.

U.S. military officials originally picked various items from this dizzying smorgasbord of spin in cobbling together their own version of the battle, although in general they hewed more closely to the SCIRI line. But that's not surprising, given the fact that this violent, extremist Shiite faction, whose death-dealing militia is deeply embedded in the Iraqi security forces, is currently in high favor with the Bush White House.

However, by mid-week, the Pentagon suddenly reversed course and came out with a whole new account, one cited by Bush himself, as the Washington Post reported. Now the battle was depicted as an exemplary pre-emptive strike by an "aggressive" and "impressive" Iraqi military, acting on good intelligence that the cult intended to storm Najaf and kill the leading clerics because they refused to recognize the claim of the cult's leader (now known as Samer Abu Kamar, by the way) to be the Mahdi.

Far from having to rescue the hapless Iraqis, American forces were simply there in a supporting role, providing "backup ground troops along with helicopter and fixed-wing aircraft support" in an attack on the cult's positions in the palm groves and farms of rural Zarqa, not far from Najaf, the Post said. Bush – that seasoned veteran of combat – had this reaction to the battle: "The Iraqis are beginning to show me something." And indeed, a spokesman for Iraqi PM Nouri al-Maliki – who has been publicly warned by Bush officials that he will be removed from the sovereign government of Iraq by the Americans if he doesn't help Bush's "surge" plan by cracking down on the Shiite militias that back him – pointed to the battle as proof that Maliki can deliver the goods.

Thus, in just three days time, the battle for Najaf morphed from an eruption of yet another level of sectarian strife threatening to overwhelm the tottering Iraqi government into a bravura display of the wonder-working power of Bush's "New Way Forward." Yet the only certainty that could really be gleaned from the official accounts ricocheting around the Western media was that when the smoke finally cleared from the palms and the fields, the ground was littered with scores of burnt and mangled corpses.

But the independent Iraqi sources paint an entirely different picture. Although here too there is much uncertainty – and thickets of impenetrable Shiite factionalism and secular political maneuvering – these accounts converge in a basic narrative that is far more coherent, and more grounded on actual reporting from the area, than the crazy quilt that Iraqi and American government officials, and the U.S. media, have thrown over the battle.

Based on accounts from Healing Iraq, the respected daily Azzaman (also here), on-scene reporting from Inter Press Service, and stories from other Iraqi papers and other media outlets translated by various websites, here is an outline of what seems to have happened on January 28.

In the early morning hours, a convoy of some 200 members of the al-Hatami tribe were making their way to Najaf for Ashura, the highly emotional commemoration of the martyrdom of Hussein, grandson of the Prophet Mohammed, at the hands of Caliph Yazid I in 680. This was the instigation of the centuries-long split between Shiites – minority adherents of Hussein and his father, Ali (Mohammad's cousin and son-in-law), whom Shiites believe were the Prophet's rightful heirs as leaders of the Muslim community – and Sunnis, the majority who believe that the early line of non-hereditary caliphs forged the true path of orthodox Islam.

The al-Hatamis are Shiites, but have dissented from the Shiite factions now running the Iraqi government: SCIRI, Maliki's Dawa Party, Motqada al-Sadr's party and others. Together with an allied tribe, the al-Khazalis, based near Najaf, the al-Hatamis have opposed the American occupation and the Iraqi government from the beginning, albeit peacefully so far. They also reject the spiritual leadership of both Ayatollah Sistani and his younger rival, Sadr, and any ties with Iran. They would not necessarily be the most welcome guests in the SCIRI-controlled province or in Sistani's hometown of Najaf, where tensions were already high as authorities braced for expected terrorist attacks on the multitude of pilgrims descending on the city.

Most of the men in the al-Hatami procession were armed – as most men are in Iraq, especially when traveling by night. At an Iraqi army checkpoint on the road between Diwaniya and Najaf, there was some kind of altercation. Whether by design or perhaps more likely through a misunderstanding of the sort that has left countless Iraqis dead at government and Coalition checkpoints, the Iraqi troops opened fire on the car carrying the tribe's elderly chief, Haj al-Hatemi and his wife, who were riding because they were too frail to join the others in the march. Seeing their chief cut down, the al-Hatamis retaliated with gunfire. They were driven back into the palm groves near Zarqa as Iraqi forces gave pursuit.

At this point, the al-Khazalis intervened, coming to support their tribal allies while reportedly trying to negotiate with the Iraqi forces to end the shooting. But the government forces had already called for heavy reinforcements. Within minutes, Iraqi ministers in Baghdad were claiming that Najaf was under attack by al Qaeda terrorists. Muaffaq al-Rubaii, the Iraqi National Security Adviser who is, curiously enough, paid by the Americans and not the Iraqis, said that hundreds of "foreign fighters" had been killed and that the Shiite splinter group Jund As-Sama was behind the attack, aiming to kill the clerics of Najaf.

There was indeed a cult group living in the palm groves of Zarqa. They were apparently part of the Mahdawiya, "a very small fringe Shia movement with scattered followers in major urban centres in the south," led by Sayyid Ahmed al-Hassan, who once followed Motqada al-Sadr's father (a revered Shiite cleric murdered by Saddam) but now claims to be the Al-Yemanni, a forerunner of the coming Shiite messiah, as Healing Iraq notes. This cult too opposes the occupation – as well as the Iraqi and Iranian governments, which al-Hassan considers apostates.

The movement has only a few hundred followers. And indeed, the Washington Post's latest report – relaying the Pentagon's admiration for the Iraqi Army's derring-do – now says that only some 700 cultist were encamped at Zarqa, instead of the 5,000 or more cited in earlier reports. Oddly enough, the cult's offices in Najaf had been raided by the Scorpion Brigade of the SCIRI-controlled Interior Ministry only days before the battle. As Zayed reports, "the same happened to [the cult's] offices in Basra, Amara and Karbala, days ago. Al-Hassan himself was placed under house arrest in Tannumah, Basra, by the Iraqi government some months ago."

Despite repeated attempts by the tribesmen, or at least some of them, to halt the fighting, the Iraqis quickly called in American air support and troops. American planes dropped leaflets on the grove, calling on all "terrorists" to surrender. Then the bombing began. According to tribal leaders, at least 120 Hatamis and more than 30 Khazalis were killed in the attack. They provided lists with the names and occupations of the dead. Local Iraqi hospitals reported women and children among the dead and wounded.

Meanwhile, from eyewitness accounts of reporters from Western papers who were at last allowed into the area, it is apparent that U.S. and Iraqi forces also devastated the cult's compound. One reporter for the Post saw at least 10 ambulances carting away the dead from the area. He was also shown a video of what Iraqi officials said were the cult's entrenchments and its large arsenal, including anti-aircraft guns, mortars, and rocket-propelled guns.

But although the outline of the incident is beginning to arise from the murk, much is still unclear. Did the cult launch an attack on the Iraqi forces that had driven the tribespeople into the grove, sparking a vicious firefight that required U.S. bombs and troops to put down? Or, as the Pentagon now claims, was the assault on the cult compound a carefully planned, already scheduled strike by crack Iraqi troops? Did the tribes blunder into the middle of this operation? Is that why the guards at the checkpoint were so quick on the trigger?

Many such questions still remain. However, it is now obvious that the original stories fed to the media about the attack were untrue – and that almost all of them were deliberate untruths, not just the usual "fog of war" uncertainties. Indeed, there was no uncertainty at all in the ever-shifting official claims; each variant was offered up as an undeniable assertion of fact.

It is also now apparent that the battle – however it originated, either through the escalation of a shooting incident or by the deliberate design of Iraqi and American forces – is being used by both Baghdad and Washington as a vindication of their disastrous policies. Bush gets to tout a "victory" by Iraqi forces (not against the real insurgents, true, but any port in a PR storm will do); while Maliki gets to pretend that he is even-handedly cracking down on Shiite militias – not by touching the death squads of his political supporters, which operate with impunity outside and inside the government, but with blunderbuss assaults on tiny fringe groups and recalcitrant tribes that, conveniently enough, oppose his collaboration with both the Americans and the Iranians.

The incident in Najaf will soon be forgotten, drowned out by the Administration's beating of war drums against Iran. But in its cynical deceptions and its murderous chaos, it is yet another microcosm of the overarching hell that Bush has made of Iraq

In The Pentagon, War Planners Imagine Situation Beyond 'Failure In Iraq'

Iraq, Afghanistan War Veterans Hammer Congress

On Patrol In Baghdad With An American Task Force


By Darryl Mason

Although Bush's troop "surge" is widely promoted as being the United States' "last roll of the dice in Iraq", the truth is that preparations are already underway, and have been for months, for what will be happening in Iraq this time next year, when the Baghdad crackdown proves to be a failure, as it is likely to be - if only because key Shiite and Sunni insurgents are already laying low or have already exited the city knowing full well what was coming.

In fact, according to this report in Salon.com, policy planners inside the Pentagon are already meeting in preparation for the failure of the "surge" option, never having believed it would work in the first place, but knowing it would buy valuable time with the American public, under the endless Bush-Cheney-Gates chorus of "give the plan a chance to succeed".

But not only are these policy planners focused on what comes after the troop "surge" failure, they are meeting to discuss ways to cope with a situation in Iraq one year from now where violence and carnage and general chaos and mayhem has been accelerated by the Baghdad crackdown, and the spread of the civil war, as detailed in the latest National Intelligence Estimate.

The theme appears to be that not only won't things get better in Iraq, they can only get worse. Much worse than most Americans could even imagine.

From Salon.com :

On Feb. 2, the National Intelligence Council, representing all intelligence agencies, issued a new National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq, as harsh an antidote to wishful thinking as could be imagined.

"The Intelligence Community judges that the term 'civil war' does not adequately capture the complexity of the conflict in Iraq, which includes extensive Shia-on-Shia violence, al-Qaida and Sunni insurgent attacks on Coalition forces, and widespread criminally motivated violence. Nonetheless, the term 'civil war' accurately describes key elements of the Iraqi conflict, including the hardening of ethno-sectarian identities, a sea change in the character of the violence, ethno-sectarian mobilization, and population displacements."

The report described an Iraqi government, army and police force that cannot meet these challenges in any foreseeable time frame and a reversal of "the negative trends driving Iraq's current trajectory" occurring only through a dream sequence in which all the warring sects and factions, in some unexplained way, suddenly make peace with one another. Nor does the NIE suggest that this imaginary scenario might ever come to pass. Instead, it proceeds to describe the potential for "an abrupt increase in communal and insurgent violence and a shift in Iraq's trajectory from gradual decline to rapid deterioration with grave humanitarian, political, and security consequences."

The reception of the latest NIE, even more than the NIE itself, indicates again Bush's and Republicans' denial of objective analysis from the professional intelligence community.

The new (National Intelligence Estimate) offers more than "key judgments" on "The Prospects for Iraq's Stability." It is also a template for the short-term future of American politics. The ruthlessly cruel events projected for Iraq will blow back to the United States. The more Bush fights there, the more the embattled Republicans must fight here.

The Senate Republicans' vote to suppress the resolution on the war was the moment when they irrevocably aligned themselves completely with a president who rejects objective analysis.

Unable to shield him or themselves from the inevitable consequences, they have made a conscious decision to place the president's delusions above the welfare not only of the Republican Party but also of the troops sent into the deadly labyrinth of Baghdad. Quietly and calmly, as the Republicans hype the "surge," the war planners prepare for the worst.


In Washington, an organisation of more than 1000 veterans of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars are relentlessly pounding both Democrats and Republicans over their failure to stop Bush from moving ahead with his plan to pour more than 20,000 more troops into Baghdad in the coming months.

VoteVets.org is led by 29 year old Iraq war veteran, and firebrand, John Soltz. He's accused Republicans and Democrats who have tried to stop a full-blown debate on Iraq in the Senate as "aiding the enemy".

Last month, (VoteVets.org) dispatched veterans to the home states of Republican senators waffling over resolutions on the war. Next, it ran a stark television ad on Super Bowl Sunday that drew national attention. And this week, group members crisscrossed Capitol Hill, trying to persuade lawmakers and their staffs to oppose the troop increase.

The veterans are selling a blunt message: The Bush strategy in Iraq is a failure, and adding troops sends more young men and women to their deaths. If you care about the military, they told lawmakers, vote against the troop increase. Legislators who are stalling debate on the matter are "cowards," they said.

In several news conferences, Soltz accused McConnell of "aiding the enemy" by allowing the Bush administration to build up troops in Iraq at the expense of the hunt for Osama bin Laden. "We are not fighting the war on terrorism, we are in the middle of a civil war," he said, referring to Iraq. "Meanwhile, the guy who attacked this country on 9/11 is living in a cave in Afghanistan."

Soltz called Cheney a "draft dodger," repeating charges he made last month when he disparaged a "president who frankly knows nothing of war and a vice president who knows even less." He said: "Senators on the fence have a choice. They can stand with veterans like us, or they can stand with the draft dodgers down the road."

Democrats said they will not muzzle the veterans. In many ways, the former soldiers and Marines are expressing sentiments the lawmakers want broadcast, and they help inoculate Democrats against Republican claims that opposing the president's plan undermines the troops.


As with Vietnam, it will likely be the war's veterans who produce the most pressure to end the procession of American soldiers into Iraq, and the flow of caskets back home.

Groups like VoteVets.org are proving to be a troubling quandary for the rapidly dwindling public supporters of the Iraq War in the United States.

How can the enormously cliched claim that valid opposition to the war "undermines the morale of the troops", when it is the troops themselves, some who have lost limbs, genitals and mental faculties, who are leading the call to bring the war to a close?

So far, few in the conservative media and blogworld have been game enough to even try to call the honesty and credibility of VoteVets.org. something less than admirable.


An insightful first hand account of American troops on patrol in East Baghdad :

The American and Iraqi plan to pacify the capital rests on the assumption that U.S. troops can win the trust of a wary population by protecting civilians trapped amid sectarian warfare. Each day, U.S. soldiers go door-to-door in the city, searching bedrooms and bathrooms, cabinets and closets, for unauthorized weapons. The operations also offer a chance to cultivate Iraqis as sources of information about the violence entangling their neighborhoods.

But soldiers in a task force from the 1st Battalion, 26th Infantry Regiment, who have patrolled Baghdad for months, say that trying to gain cooperation from Iraqi civilians is a thankless struggle. They say they feel powerless to prevent the city's slide into wider war and that Iraqis seldom open up to them with detailed intelligence. Since the task force of more than 800 soldiers arrived in August, 15 of them have been killed.

Although their commanders argue otherwise, the extent of the challenge led some soldiers to express doubt in interviews that the additional 17,500 American troops slated for Baghdad can make a lasting difference.

"I don't think the infantry or pretty much anyone in the United States Army are properly trained to deal with the guerrilla tactics these guys use against us," said Spec. Jeffrey Steele, 22. "This is a policing thing, you know. It needs more investigation into how these guys work, where
they're located. I don't think we can do any better."

* * * * * * *

Sgt. 1st Class Luis Enrique Gutierrez Rosales, 38, said most of the Iraqis he has met say they are pleased that the Americans patrol their neighborhoods. "They said they always feel safe when we're around. People stop on the road and say thank you. They say, 'If it wasn't for you, I probably wouldn't be alive,' " he said.

But some of his soldiers saw less reason to be hopeful about either their relations with the Iraqis or the troop increase. After the patrol on Thursday, Sgt. Michael Hiler, 26, stepped down from his Humvee and described the day's effort as "stupid."

"We should have pulled out a long time ago," Hiler said. "It's going to take the hand of God to change anything about what we do here, which is nothing. This country's going to fall apart sooner or later, and at this point I say, 'Good riddance.' "

Sitting on bunks while waiting for an evening patrol, a group of soldiers discussed the enemy and the latest security effort, described by Padgett as "the last best hope for Iraq."

"All these extra troops start coming into Baghdad, you'll start reducing the anti-American violence. That way, it will show quick results for the Bush administration. And that way, 'Hey, we won the war, let's get out of here,' " said Pfc. Daniel Gomez, 21, a medic. But he said of the forces opposing the Americans: "They're like the Viet Cong, they can wait it out. We're not going to be here forever, and they know that. And then we're gone, and it's all theirs."


Six US Helicopters Shot Down By Insurgents Over Iraq In 20 Days

Claim : 45 Civilians, 13 Iraqi Fighters Killed By US Airstrikes On Baghdad

The Iranian Ambassador To The UN Explains How Not To Inflame Iraq

1000 American Iraq And Afghanistan War Veterans Relentlessly Hammer Democrats And Republicans Over Their Failure To Stop Bush's Troop "Surge" Plan

Children Of War : The Generation Traumatised By The Extreme Violence In Iraq

The Coalition's Secret Weapon In Iraq : The UK Army Unit That Works With, And Within, The Enemy

24 Hours In Iraq : 70 Iraqis Killed In Roadside Bombings, Suicide Bombings, Car Bombings, Assassinations, Massacres

Pentagon Says Pre-War Intelligence Distortions Inappropriate, But Not Illegal

The Spinning Of The Najaf Massacre : Fanciful Tales Of Messianic Cult Mask Appalling Tragedy

How To 'Lose' $12 Billion Dollars Cash In Iraq

Wednesday, February 07, 2007

Round Up Of World News


AFGHANISTAN : Eight Afghani police and guards have been killed in a series of bomb attacks believed to be linked to militants within the Taliban insurgency.

The first bomb was packed onto a parked motorcycle near a US military outpost. The second bombing came from a suicide attacker driving a car filled with explosives into a police checkpoint in Kandahar. A third bomb was detonated by remote control as a police patrol passed by in Nimroz.

More than 1000 people were killed in insurgency-related violence in 2005. In 2006, the figure had escalated to more than 4000.

The Taliban claimed weeks ago that it would unleash "a storm of attacks" throughout 2007, claiming it had a force of thousands of ready suicide bombers.

Tribal elders from the Eastern provinces are now pushing talks with warlords and the Taliban's Mullah Omar to bring peace and stability to their regions. These key talks are expected to follow earlier, quiet deals cut with tribal warlords to allow Taliban members to remain in their territories as long as they did not engage Coalition forces, or attack civilians.


VENEZUELA : President Hug Chavez has announced he will nationalise the key Orinoco oil fields and the entire electricity grid starting May 1. Chavez has offered the five major foreign firms, including Exxon Mobil, British Petroleum and Chevron Corp, currently controlling the Orinoco fields the chance to stay on and become "minority partners."

This move by Chavez may explain US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's claims that democracy in Venezuela was "under threat" from Chavez and that he is "destroying" the country.

Expect the US rhetoric against Chavez to ramp up in the next few months as key oil giants come closer to losing billions of dollars in Venezuela.

Condoleezza Rice was a board member for Exxon for a decade from 1991 to 2001, and had a 129,000 oil tanker named in her honour. The name was changed when she joined the Bush administration in early 2001.


A report on the United States' secret air war over Iraq. In 2006 alone, more than 100,000 pounds worth of bombs have been dropped, hundreds of missiles and rockets fired, killing more than an estimated 200 civilians.


ITALY : A judge has announced that a US soldier will now stand trial for homicide, in relation to the shooting death of Italian intelligence agent, Nicola Calipari, in 2005, in Iraq.

Calipari was killed as he approached a US checkpoint close to the Baghdad airport, while escorting an Italian journalist just freed by Iraqi kidnappers out of the war zone. Calipari was praised in death for protecting the journalist with his body under the storm of gunfire which all but destroyed the vehicle they were travelling in.

The Italian foreign minister has written a protest letter to six allied nations telling them to keep out of Italian internal affairs, over pressure to keep Italy's 1800 strong military force in Afghanistan.

The Prodi government has also come under fire for allowing the US to expand one of its bases in Northern Italy.


DARFUR : The Pentagon has announced it will take no military action to end the genocide in Darfur. It intends to focus on diplomacy instead. The US has previously widely, and loudly, criticised the United Nations for not taking greater action to end the fighting and killing in Darfur.


YEMEN : In less than seven weeks of fighting, some 42 Yememi army and police troops have been killed during clashes with Shiite rebel fighters in Saada, a province in the north. Saada lies on the border with Saudia Arabia. The chief of the National Security Agency said the attacks on Saada military outposts were by followers of Shiite leader Abdul-Malik al-Houthi.


NICARAGUA : The United States has demanded that Nicaragua destroy hundreds of Soviet-made SAM-7 missiles surface to air missiles. But newly elected president, and former revolutionary, Daniel Ortega, refused the US demand, saying they were needed to defend the country.

The US claims that the missiles could find their way into the hands of terrorists.

Nicaragua's neighbour Honduras is currently expanding its military fleet with US planes.
Nicaragua is in an eight year long dispute with Honduras over Caribbean bean Sea territory.


SOMALIA : Ethiopian troops, backed by US special forces and CIA operatives, continue their pursuit of former members of the Islamic courts, after they were removed from their seat of power in the capital Mogadishu in mid-December.

A senior cleric, riddled with bullets from American airstrikes has been paraded through the capital by Ethiopian troops.

Former remands and supporters of the Islamic Courts have been blamed for mortar and rocket propelled grenade fire in the capital in recent days.


A Round Up Iraq News Will Follow....

Tuesday, February 06, 2007

US Confirms Establishment of An African Command In Effort To Secure Future Oil, Gas Supplies

As a prominent counter move against China's increasing presence, and influence, across Africa, the Pentagon is already well underway to establishing a new African Command, despite the Department of Defence's announcement (below) that it is something they've only just come up with.

With the increasing power and spread of jihadists across Africa, the chaos in Somalia threatening to tip over into Ethiopia, and the endless attacks and kidnappings launched on oil platforms, pipelines and international workers in Nigeria, the US can hardly afford not to pour thousands of permanent soldiers, special forces, diplomats and spies into the region.

A recent White House national energy policy paper predicted that Africa would become "one of the fastest growing sources of oil and gas" for future American markets, as they try to break free of their "addiction" to Middle East oil.

But China has moved fast and decisively in Africa, showering development money and spreading bribes far and wide to niche up their own increasing energy demands, which will only grow in the next decade.

The question now is whether the United States has left their move into Africa too late to get their hands on the best quality, and easiest to harvest, oil and gas reserves.

From the US Department of Defence :
The U.S. military will establish a separate U.S. Africa Command to oversee military operations on the African continent, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates announced during Congressional testimony today.

“The president has decided to stand-up a new unified, combatant command, Africa Command, to oversee security cooperation, building partnership capability, defense support to non-military missions, and, if directed, military operations on the African continent,” Gates said in testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee.

The command will enable the U.S. military to have a more effective and integrated approach than the current command setup, Gates said.

Responsibility for operations on the African continent is currently divided among three combatant commands: U.S. European Command, which has responsibility for most of the nations in the African mainland except in the Horn of Africa; U.S. Central Command, which has responsibility for Egypt, Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia and Kenya; and U.S. Pacific Command, which has responsibility for Madagascar, the Seychelles and the Indian Ocean area off the African coast.

Gates called this arrangement an “outdated arrangement left over from the Cold War.”

He added that DoD will consult closely with Congress and European and African allies to implement the effort.


Chinese President Hu Jintao's Eight Nation Tour Of Africa Yields Results

Nine Chinese Oil Workers Kidnapped In Nigeria Set Free, Unharmed

United States Vs Russia, Over Iran & Hamas

But Kosovo May Be The Biggest Relationship Breaker Of All

Trouble is brewing between the United States and Russia over a host of issues, including Iran, Hamas and the US plans to expand its missile defence system via foreign bases close to Russia's border.

Russia has proven to be a reliable and influential ally of Iran in the past year, all but completely dismantling Washington's attempts to isolate Iran from the rest of the international community. Russia has energy deals worth tens of billions of dollars with Iran, and is building one of its new nuclear energy reactors.

Russia sees the actions of Israel and the United States in, and against, Iraq, Iran and other Arab states as negatively influencing its long-term plans to expand business and energy deals across both Sunni and Shiite states, including Palestine.

It is interesting to note that it has been the United States and not Russia who has been acting aggressively, and undiplomatically, in the region. The more the US and Israel pushes, prods and threatens states like Iran and Syria and Lebanon, the more they look to Russia for protection and development funds.

Russia's controversial Foreign Affairs Minister, Sergev Lavrov, spent almost a week in Washington in late January, early February, specifically to take part in the Quartet negotiations aimed at pushing forward the 'Roadmap To Peace' for Israel and Palestine.

While in Washington, Lavrov, claims he was told by the Americans they were not intending to start a new war in the Middle East :
"The American side assured us that it has no plans to go to war against Iran," said Mr. Lavrov en route from Washington to Moscow.

According to Mr. Lavrov, he was told in Washington that the buildup of American military strength in the Persian Gulf "is aimed at stabilizing the situation in the region and at calming the fears of the Gulf countries."
But there remains visible, risible tensions between the United States over other issues relating to Iran.

The US is now trying to bolt sanctions onto Russian companies they believe are cooperating militarily with Iran. The US has also placed sanctions on Rosoboronexport, a massive Russian arms exporter, and other Russian weapons manufacturers.

The Russians see these sanctions as both insulting, and a betrayal.

The US only got its widely heralded, but minor, sanctions against Iran through the United Nations Security Council because Russia chose not to veto the American push.

The Russians let America have its small victory against Iran, but its move to sanction Russian companies dealing with Iran is viewed in the Kremlin as "an unfriendly move".

But even more fireball for Russian-US relations is Washington's growing of its missile defence system (MDS) into Poland, the Baltic States and Czech Republic. The Kremlin sees the Americans shuttling a missile defence system virtually onto Russia's borders.

Lavrov had no luck during his late January visit to Washington to get the Americans to rein back its MDS expansion :
"What we have been hearing [on this topic] has not convinced us that this is an adequate answer to the real threats that exist today in the sphere of nuclear and missile proliferation," contended Mr. Lavrov after his return to Moscow.
Russia had also pushed Washington and Israel to recognise that Hamas was the legitimate authority of the Palestinian government and that the crippling international trade and aid boycott must be lifted.

Again, no interest from Washington in recognising Hamas, while it refuses to recognise Israel.

From Naharnet.com :
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has said the United States is likely the "most difficult partner" for Russia to deal with, reiterating suggestions that the U.S. was being shortsighted by not engaging countries that could help solve problems from Iraq and Lebanon to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

"The Middle East settlement has been suspended because, despite our position and the position of the European Union, Washington has conducted policy based on the principle, 'He who is not with us is against us,"' the Interfax news agency on Sunday quoted Lavrov as saying.

He said that the United States is isolating Iran, Syria, Hamas and Hizbullah, even though they are "key actors in solving the Middle East puzzle."
Lavrov claims Washington's position in the Middle East is "too confrontational," and claimed that while the relationship between President Bush and President Putin appeared to be strong, relations between their equivalent state and foreign affairs departments were "far less positive" :
The remarks reflected troubled ties between the Cold War superpowers, which are strained by disagreements over an array of international issues and over Russia's record on democracy under President Vladimir Putin, despite avowals of common aims on matters such as terrorism and weapons proliferation.

While Moscow and Washington have been able to "achieve mutually acceptable results" on many issues, he said the United States "is not an easy partner at all (to deal with) -- probably the most difficult partner."

Lavrov said that Moscow is frank with Washington when it takes issue with U.S. foreign policy, and that the United States should learn from its own experience, and quickly.

"Too much potential for crisis has built up in addition to Iraq and Afghanistan."

Russia sharply criticized the U.S. invasion of Iraq and has sought to counter what it suggests are overly uncompromising U.S. positions on the nuclear programs of Iran and North Korea.

And then there is Russia's increasing investment in Iran's oil, gas and nuclear energy future, which moves ahead in leaps and bounds despite the pressure from Washington :
...the United States holds little chance of discouraging Russia from pursuing energy cooperation with the cash-strapped but oil- and gas-rich Iran.

Russia wants Iranian oil and natural gas, and while concerns over Tehran`s nuclear program may affect relations in the future, for the time being Moscow is not hesitating to invest in energy exploration and production in Iran.

LUKoil, the largest Russian oil company, agreed in January to take over development of the 26 billion-barrel Azadegan oil field. Japanese oil company INPEX had contracted for a 75 percent stake in the field, but under pressure from the United States, dropped its share to 10 percent at the end of last year.

And in December Russian media reported that Tehran and Moscow would pursue a joint venture to develop natural gas deposits in the two countries.

Iran is desperate for investment in its energy sector. Domestic shortages in January forced it to stop contracted shipments of natural gas to Turkey, despite holding the world`s second-largest proven gas reserves, more than 950 trillion cubic feet, or about 16 percent of the world`s total. Iranian oil production is suffering as well, though it has 10 percent of the world`s reserves.

Russia and Iran, the world`s top two producers of natural gas, may be teaming up in other ways. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday that Moscow would consider a natural gas cartel with Iran.


At the same time as highlighting tensions between the White House and the Kremlin over Iran, Hamas, the Middle East in general, and missile defence, the world's media has barely touched on one issue that is likely to see serious tensions and perhaps even military confrontations in the future between the Bear and the Wolf.

And that issue is the future of Kosovo.

A dangerous dispute now ferments over how Kosovo will be officially determined in the near future, and what areas will constitute its territory.

The United States is behind the push for independence for the province of Kosovo.

But the Russians back Serbia in its claims that Kosovo is "an integral part of its territory."


US Director Of National Intelligence Plans To Turn New Eyes On Russia

In His Own Words : Vladimir Put Answers To The World's Media

Russia Embraces Iranian Energy - Billions Of Investment Dollars To Flow

Russian Pundit : The West Is Losing The War On Terror, Despite "Isolated Victories" - Failed To Learn The Lessons Of 9/11

The Economist On A New Gas OPEC

Sunday, February 04, 2007

Iraq : US Intel Declares Iraq Is Bad, But Will Get Much Worse

On the eve of the mega-hyped 'Baghdad Crackdown', which is supposed to be "last roll of the dice" for the US in Iraq, though of course it won't be, here's two key US media analyses of a long delayed National Intelligence Estimate on the near future of Iraq, and America's role in the bomb-blasted war zone.

The NIE represents the unanimous opinion and fact-checking of the 16 separate agencies that make up the United State 'intelligence community.'

The NIE was widely presented as a "starkly pessimistic" assessment of the Coalition of the Willing's appallingly failed attempt to refashion Iraq into a beacon of democracy in the Middle East.

Iran was presented as being lethally influential in the ongoing attacks on US troops, and a actionary force in Shia-related attacks on Sunnis and growing tensions towards the Kurds in the north of Iraq. A view heavily promoted in recent months by President Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney and and an endless series of Israeli politicians and Israel-aligned US think tanks.

However, evidential documents from US intel that was supposed to show how Iran was supplying weapons and hardware to Shia insurgents inside Iraq was not included in the NIE, nor have any credible reports been presented to the US Congress on Iran' role.

All passages below are excerpts from longer articles.


From the Washington Post :
...even if security improves, deepening sectarian divisions threaten to destroy the government and ultimately could lead to anarchy, partition or the emergence of a new dictatorship.

Citing "the current winner-take-all attitude and sectarian animosities infecting the political scene," declassified judgments of a new National Intelligence Estimate predicted that Iraqi leaders will be "hard pressed" to reconcile over the next 18 months.

Though the administration has repeatedly asserted that al-Qaeda and Iranian operatives are responsible for provoking much of the violence in Iraq, the NIE played down their roles.

Analysts studied what would happen if Iran were not a factor inside Iraq and concluded that, even though Iranian agents target U.S. troops, the absence of Tehran's agents would not appreciably alter the sectarian conflict.

The sectarian nature of the fighting, along with the "ethno-sectarian mobilization and population displacements," the estimate said, is consistent with the definition of "civil war." But it said the term "does not adequately capture the complexity of the conflict in Iraq, which includes extensive Shia-on-Shia violence, al-Qaeda and Sunni insurgent attacks on Coalition forces, and widely criminally motivated violence."

Despite their majority status, the Shiites who now dominate the government remain "deeply insecure" after decades under the brutal control of Hussein and his Sunni regime, the NIE said. Their insecurity "leads the Shia to mistrust U.S. efforts to reconcile Iraqi sects and reinforces their unwillingness to engage with the Sunnis on a variety of issues," the estimate said.

Many Sunnis "remain unwilling to accept their minority status," the NIE continued, "believe the central government is illegitimate and incompetent, and are convinced that Shia dominance will increase Iranian influence over Iraq."

The Kurds, the country's third major group, "are moving systematically to increase their control" over the oil-rich city of Kirkuk and are looking to a constitutionally required referendum to take place no later than the end of this year, the NIE said. The voting will deal with the incorporation of the city within the Kurds' regional border. Such a move, the estimate said, "could prompt Turkey to launch a military incursion."


From the New York Times :
The assessment, by American intelligence agencies, expressed deep doubts about the abilities of Iraqi politicians to hold together an increasingly balkanized country, and about whether Iraqi troops might be able to confront powerful militias over the next 18 months and assume more responsibility for security.

The estimate suggested that the United States now faced an unpalatable decision in which a rapid withdrawal of American troops would only accelerate momentum toward Iraq’s collapse, and in which Iraq faced long odds of quelling the violence and overcoming hardening sectarian divisions, regardless of how many American troops police Iraq’s streets.

The intelligence report (concluded) that Iran is providing “lethal support” for Shiite groups that is intensifying the violence. But it portrayed the violence as essentially “self-sustaining,” and suggested that the involvement of outsiders, including Iran, was “not likely to be a major driver of violence or the prospects for stability.”

The declassified portions included an assessment that an Iraqi military hampered by sectarian divisions would be “hard pressed” over the next 12 to 18 months to “execute significantly increased security responsibilities, and particularly to operate independently against Shia militias with any success.”

The report also concluded that security in Iraq would continue to deteriorate at current rates unless “measurable progress” can be made in efforts to reverse the conditions that fuel violence.

The previous National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq, in the summer of 2004, detailed three possible outlooks for Iraq over the following 18 months, with the most pessimistic possibility that Iraq would descend into civil war.

By contrast the new report, struggling to describe the nature of the ongoing violence, said that calling it a “civil war” was hardly sufficient.

The report also warned that a further sectarian splintering of Iraq could incite other countries in the Middle East to arm and finance various sects in the country: Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt supporting the Sunnis, and Iran coming to the aid of Shiite forces.

Beyond the current grim picture, the report described several “triggering events” that could cause the situation to worsen significantly. Among them, it listed the assassination of major religious or political leaders, a complete Sunni defection from the government, and sustained mass sectarian killings that could “shift Iraq’s trajectory from gradual decline to rapid deterioration with grave humanitarian, political and security consequences.”

Were the already fragile government to collapse, the report outlined three possible outcomes: the emergence of a Shiite strongman to assert authority over minority sects, an “anarchic” fragmentation that puts power in the hands of hundreds of local potentates, or a period of sustained, bloody fighting leading to partition of Iraq along ethnic lines.

“Collapse of this magnitude would generate fierce violence for at least several years,” the report concluded, “ranging well beyond the time frame of this estimate, before settling into a partially stable end-state.

From the Washington Post :

In crafting key judgments of the 2007 estimate, analysts from across the intelligence community laid out three possible scenarios, each of which could have enormously negative consequences for Iraq: Chaos leading to partition, the emergence of a Shiite strongman who would seize power and rule by dictatorship, or a complete collapse of central control resulting in violent fiefdoms across the country.

The official said the new estimate "highlighted a trend of deterioration that is not irreversible. But if it's not reversed soon, then we're heading toward a worsening security situation over the next 12 to 18 months. It's more of a main judgment than we were able to give in 2004, if significantly caveated."

The senior intelligence official who agreed to discuss some aspects of both reports said that while the 2004 estimate now seems prescient, analysts failed to predict "the rapid degree of intensification of sectarian mobilization and consciousness, and the speed in which that happened. I don't think we were that insightful."

Saturday, February 03, 2007

Palestine : Devoid Of Hope For A Better Future, Hamas and Fatah Gunmen Go To War

When Hamas claimed victory in Palestinian elections almost a year ago, Palestinians had renewed hope that their misery would soon come to an end. Hamas still refused to officially recognise Israel, but instituted a "cease fire" regardless, and reached out to engage Israel, the rest of the Arab world and chiefly the United States, in peace talks.

But the United States, who backed democratic elections in Palestine, decided to side with Israel and locked Hamas out of 'Roadmap To Peace', two-state negotiations. Funding was cut, Israel destroyed power plants in Gaza and the West Bank under the guise of pursuing militants, and the killings continued.

The Palestinian Authority, once so deeply despised by Israel that its leaders could barely stand to even be in the same room as the Fatah members, let alone Yasar Arafat, suddenly found itself befriended by Israel and the United States.

Recently, Israel and the US began funding Fatah and, remarkably, arming it with an array of guns and ammunition. But there was a condition for the cash and the guns. Fatah had to break Hamas.

And so a virtual civil war rages today in the streets of Gaza, amidst Fatah-Hamas ceasefires and truces. Dozens have died in the past two weeks alone, including many children.

While the 'Qaurtert' meets in the United States, peace and an internationally acknowledged state for the Palestinians now seem further away than they've been for years. If not decades.

From Haaretz :
Clashes between Fatah and Hamas gunmen resumed across the Gaza Strip on Saturday in defiance of a truce deal, sending Gazans who had tentatively ventured from their homes scattering to seek refuge from the violence.

On Saturday afternoon, Fatah sources announced that Hamas gunmen kidnapped six unarmed members of the Palestinian Authority's Preventative Security Service at roadblocks they had set up in the city.

Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas and Hamas' Damascus-based political leader Khaled Mashal agreed to an immediate cease-fire late Friday, after two days of factional violence left 25 Palestinians dead, Abbas spokesman Nabil Abu Rudeineh said.

Rumours of Iranian involvement in Gaza, backing and arming Hamas, run rampant, as the US and Israel claims that at least six Iranian weapons experts were arrested at a Hamas-run university complex.

Through Gaza and the West Bank there now grows the very proxy Sunni Vs Shia war feared, and sometimes cheered, by all the major regional power players. But hundreds of thousands of Palestinians are now on the verge of starvation. Many live without electricity, fresh water, basic sanitation.

And all the while, Israel and swarms of 'settlers' continue to occupy and annex Palestinian lands while the US pretends it doesn't see what's going on.

From the Melbourne Age :

"What's happening here in Palestine is good only for Israel, but what can we do?" said Hamas spokesman Fawzi Barhoum, who on Thursday was the target of an unsuccessful Fatah assassination bid.

"We had a democratic process and people voted for Hamas and for us to form the Government. But the whole world supported Israel, even most Islamic countries. What we understand is that some Fatah people are co-ordinating with the Israelis and Americans to destroy our national project."

A Fatah commander in Gaza acknowledged that Fatah was being armed and funded by the US and Israel but said: "There is no other way for us to survive as Palestinians but to look for support from the Israelis, the Americans and the Arab world."

From Haaretz :
The Americans say events of the past week in Gaza have only proved to the Palestinians that the Hamas government cannot provide them with the security they need. "Hamas is trying to shake off responsibility and give it to the international community," a source in the State Department said, "but it's their responsibility."

The American noted that in Gaza, where Hamas' control is ostensibly stronger [than in the West Bank], Hamas is unable "to deliver the Palestinians what they expect."

This is, of course, exactly what Washington and Israel has dreamed of for the past twelve months. They want to prove they were right from the beginning, that Hamas could not bring peace to Palestine.

The majority of Palestinians chose to elect Hamas after Fatah's Palestinian Authority failed to bring peace and improvements to daily life for years. Palestinians are now continuing to be punished for their insolence in choosing to elect Hamas, against the wishes of Israel and the United States.


25 Killed In 24 Hours Of Fighting, Palestinians Declare New Ceasefire

Claim : Iranian Agents Nabbed In Gaza, 1 Commits Suicide - Fatah Fighters Seize Hams Weapons Stockpile

Truce Between Hamas & Fatah Shattered As Street Battles Erupt Again

Russia, US Disagree Over Syria's Role In Mid-East Peace Process

Russia Furious Over US Refusal To Engage Syria, Iran Over Solving The War In Palestine

Egyptians Blame Hamas As Gaza Ceasefire Collapses

US Backing For Fatah Stirs New Conflict

Friday, February 02, 2007

Claim : US Poised To Strike Iran Nuke Targets From Bulgarian Bases

Iran Moves On Iraq, Bush Sounds Warning, US Democrats Open Negotiations With Maliki Government

UN, Russia, China Calls For "Time Out" Over Iran Nuclear Energy Controversy

February 21 is the deadline imposed by the United Nations Security Council for Iran to stop enriching uranium.

Iran currently gives no indication that it is going to adhere to that deadline. The United Nations, and Russia separately, are both sounding out the United States about a "time out" over pressuring the Iranians to wind back the growth of their nuclear energy cycle.

From Israel, and the Israel lobby in the United States, comes a seemingly endless sheeting of bog-standard warnings about what Iran will do with its nuclear weapons, and how much of a threat Iran armed with nuclear weapons will be, despite the fact that the International Atomic Energy Agency repeatedly states there is no proof, nor indication, that Iran is building nuclear weapons, or is pursuing a nuclear weapons program.

But Israel's anti-Iran PR offensive has already worked.

Discussions can be heard all across newspapers, TV, radio from New York City to York, England, and all across Australia, where debates roll on how The West should react to a nuclear-armed Iran, not whether or not they actually have nuclear weapons in the first place.

Or will at any time in the next decade.

February 21 is now the date to watch.

The United States already has enough water-based firepower in the Persian Gulf to strike hundreds of targets inside Iran, and another aircraft carrier on the way.

Likewise, Israel's air force remains on a virtual two-minute-warning, ready to act on its own, or as part of an air strike offensive launched by President Bush, without the consent of the US Congress.


From the Sunday Herald :
President Bush is preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of April and the US Air Force's new bases in Bulgaria and Romania would be used as back-up in the onslaught, according to an official report from Sofia.

"American forces could be using their two USAF bases in Bulgaria and one at Romania's Black Sea coast to launch an attack on Iran in April," the Bulgarian news agency Novinite said.

The American build-up alongthe Black Sea, coupled with the recent positioning of two US aircraft carrier battle groups off the Straits of Hormuz, appears to indicate president Bush has run out of patience with Tehran's nuclear misrepresentation and non-compliance with the UN Security Council's resolution.

President Ahmeninejad of Iran has further ratcheted up tension in the region by putting on show his newly purchased state of the art Russian TOR-Ml anti-missile defence system.

Israel, according to the Washington Times, has its own plans for taking out Iran's nuclear facilities :
A military source tells us the talk among Israeli military officials is how and when to counter Iran's nuclear weapons program, most likely in a pre-emptive attack on Iranian nuclear facilities.

The Israelis know that any attack will require overflying U.S.-dominated Iraq, but one solution would be to set up a secret base in another area between Iran and Israel to refuel Israel's bombers.

The Israelis in recent months have purchased large numbers of U.S. precision-guided joint direct attack munitions, or JDAM, kits for their bombs and special bunker-buster explosives that could be used to destroy underground Iranian nuclear facilities.

Our source said the Israelis know that their attack on Iran would be far bloodier and much more difficult than the daring 1981 bombing attack against Iraq's Osirak nuclear reactor.

"They will have to strike during the day to make sure they get the technicians and scientists," the source told us.

Also, an anti-nuclear military strike will cause collateral damage because many of the Iranian nuclear facilities are located close to civilian population centers.

At least 13 Iranian nuclear facilities are known and can be located publicly on Google Earth mapping software. They include facilities at Tehran, Natanz, Arak, Lashkar-Abad, Isfahan, Ardekan, Bushehr and Gachin. Most are underground and have advanced air defense missiles for protection.

Key targets: the Natanz nuclear facility, a military plant about 200 miles south of Tehran that is the location of at least one centrifuge cascade that is thought to be where nuclear fuel for weapons is being developed.

The Bushehr nuclear reactor on the Persian Gulf coast also will be a key target, and any bombing there risks killing scores of Russians who are part of construction crews for the reactor facility.

The Bush administration is hardening its position on Iran but is holding Israel in check from attacking. That said, in 1981, the United States had no warning of the Osirak raid until after the F-16s and F-15s were in the air.

Iran isn't waiting for the United States/Coalition retreat from Iraq before they set up the financial infrastructure they need to gradually absorb the now Shiite dominated country into their own, if that's what they're actually planning to do. It begins with the founding of banks and solid financial infrastructure.

From the New York Times :
Iran's ambassador to Baghdad outlined an ambitious plan on Sunday to greatly expand its economic and military ties with Iraq — including an Iranian national bank branch in the heart of the capital — just as the Bush administration has been warning the Iranians to stop meddling in Iraqi affairs.

Iran’s plan, as outlined by the ambassador, carries the potential to bring Iran into further conflict here with the United States, which has detained a number of Iranian operatives in recent weeks and says it has proof of Iranian complicity in attacks on American and Iraqi forces.

The ambassador, Hassan Kazemi Qumi, said Iran was prepared to offer Iraq government forces training, equipment and advisers for what he called “the security fight.”

In the economic area, Mr. Qumi said, Iran was ready to assume major responsibility for Iraq reconstruction...

“We have experience of reconstruction after war,” Mr. Qumi said, referring to the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s. “We are ready to transfer this experience in terms of reconstruction to the Iraqis.”

Mr. Qumi also acknowledged, for the first time, that two Iranians seized and later released by American forces last month were security officials, as the United States had claimed. But he said that they were engaged in legitimate discussions with the Iraqi government and should not have been detained.

He ridiculed the evidence that the American military has said it collected, including maps of Baghdad delineating Sunni, Shiite and mixed neighborhoods — the kind of maps, American officials have said, that would be useful for militias engaged in ethnic slaughter. Mr. Qumi said the maps were so common and easily obtainable that they proved nothing.

“They worked in the security sector in the Islamic Republic, that’s clear,” Mr. Qumi said, referring to Iran. But he said that the Iranians were in Iraq because “the two countries agreed to solve the security problems.” The Iranians “went to meet with the Iraqi side,” he said.

In a surprise announcement, Mr. Qumi said Iran would soon open a national bank in Iraq, in effect creating a new Iranian financial institution right under the Americans’ noses. A senior Iraqi banking official, Hussein al-Uzri, confirmed that Iran had received a license to open the bank, which he said would apparently be the first “wholly owned subsidiary bank” of a foreign country in Iraq.

“This will enhance trade between the two countries,” Mr. Uzri said.

Any Iranian military assistance to Iraq would be fraught with potential difficulties. Aside from provoking American objections, such assistance could further alienate Sunni Arabs, many of whom already suspect that Iran, overwhelmingly Shiite, is encouraging Iraq’s Shiite-led government in persecuting them.

A number of American and Iraqi officials said Sunday that it was difficult to respond to Mr. Qumi’s statements until they had been communicated through official routes. A spokesman for the American Embassy in Baghdad, Lou Fintor, declined to address the statements.

“We are welcoming all the initiatives to participate in the process of reconstruction,” said Qasim Daoud, a former national security adviser who is now a secular Shiite member of Parliament. “My belief is that our strategic alliance is with the Americans, but at the same time we are looking for the participation of any country that would like to participate,” Mr. Daoud said.

Mr. Qumi also warned the United States against playing out tensions in what he called “the nuclear file” in Iraq. “We don’t need Iraq to pay the cost of our animosity with the Americans,” Mr. Qumi said.

As the interview was breaking up, Mr. Qumi made one last stab at the Americans. If Iran is allowed to undertake reconstruction activities in Iraq, he said, all international construction companies would be welcome. “Urge the American companies to come here,” he said.


The Response from President Bush

From Raw Story :
In a lengthy National Public Radio interview with Juan Williams today, President George W. Bush warned Iran, one of the nations in Bush's so-called "axis of evil," over its nuclear ambitions and threatened potential retaliation for Iran's doings in war-torn Iraq.

"If Iran escalates its military action in Iraq to the detriment of our troops and/or innocent Iraqi people, we will respond firmly," said the President, who also remarked, "I take the Iranian nuclear threat very seriously, even though the intel on Iraq was not what it was thought to be."

Yet Bush also insisted, in response to rumors of a pre-emptive U.S. attack on Teheran, "I have no intent upon going into Iran..."


Going into Iran is not the same as bombing Iran from the sky, or the Gulf.

Only crazed right wing war pigs seriously discuss the merits of deploying US troops on the ground in Iran. The debate as it now stands is over whether the US will launch air strikes at Iran's nuclear energy facilities, or whether Israel will do it.

And as Bush made clear, "I have no intent upon going into Iran..." He didn't say anything about "going over Iran".

While the relationship between President Bush and Iraq's Maliki government continues to descend into something akin to an emotional scratching post, with the US as the cat, the Democrats, under Nancy Pelosi, now in control of the US Congress, have entered into their own negotiations with Maliki to bring the war to a close.


From the LA Times :
Representatives of Iraq's government are hedging their bets on America's political future, hoping to keep U.S. support for their country strong by building ties with a Democratic Party that now controls Congress and is closely scrutinizing President Bush's Iraq policy.

"There's a decision to be in contact, find out what they want, what their concerns are and to tell them of our concerns as well," said Ali Adeeb, a Shiite lawmaker and close associate of Prime Minister Nouri Maliki.

Republicans have dominated Iraq policy since the U.S.-led invasion in 2003. Many of the first U.S. officials in Iraq were handpicked party activists.

In one sense, the Nov. 7 election that handed Democrats control of Congress changed little, even though it was largely viewed as a repudiation of the White House's Iraq policy. The State and Defense departments are still the primary instruments of policy in Iraq.

A top government official close to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-San Francisco), who ended a brief visit to Iraq on Saturday, said the Bush administration remains the final arbiter of decisions on how much continued U.S. military and financial support the Iraqis receive.

But the election that changed the political dynamic in Washington also altered the rules of the game here.

Iraqi leaders studied and discussed the possibility of a Democratic takeover for months before the vote. They concluded early that even the most staunchly antiwar Democrats would not abandon Iraq. In heated discussions, lawmakers reminded one another that it was Democratic President Clinton who signed the 1998 Iraq Liberation Act, which funded the opposition movements now in power.

The Shiite Muslim leadership has informally recommended to ministerial and parliamentary delegations heading to Washington that they cultivate closer relationships with Democrats as well as Republicans.

Many pointed out advantages to the Democrats' increased sway over Iraq policy. Government officials said they had generally found the Democratic position on handing over security to Iraqi forces sooner rather than later closer to theirs.

"I see that the Democratic ideas are more related to reality," said Ammar Tuma, a lawmaker who serves in Maliki's ruling Shiite coalition. "They talk about the real problems that the Iraqis are facing every day."

To date, government officials said, they've also found Democratic visitors such as Pelosi, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York and Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois less parochial, more culturally sensitive and more willing to listen to Iraqi concerns than Republicans.

"Before, Bush used to order Iraqi officials to do this and that," said one member of Maliki's Islamic Dawa Party, who spoke on condition of anonymity. "The Republicans were dictating the political process in Iraq. With the Democrats in control of Congress, the Republicans are now less influential than before. It helps us in a sense to breathe a bit more and to have more freedom."

Many of the Shiites around Maliki still harbor bitterness about the Bush administration's push to remove then-interim Prime Minister Ibrahim Jafari from his post last year. They considered the pressure inappropriate interference in Iraq's domestic affairs. They were also angered by recent remarks by Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice questioning whether Maliki was up to the job of leading Iraq.

The United Nations has called on the US, and its allies, to sound "a timeout" over the rising confrontation with Iran over its nuclear energy programs :

A key to resolving the issue is a direct engagement between Iran and the United States similar to that with the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei stressed in several interviews over the weekend in Davos, Switzerland, where he attended the World Economic Forum.

“I call on all parties to take a simultaneous timeout. Iran should take a timeout from its enrichment activity, the international community a timeout from the application of sanctions, and parties should go immediately to the negotiating table,” he said. “The right track is dialogue, negotiation.”


The US has roundly rejected any and all calls for "a timeout".

But now Russia and China are backing up the United Nations, against the United States.

Everyone, it seems, now wants a "time out", except the United States, Israel, and more quietly, Australia.

But any idea that China or Russia would tolerate any kind of military action by the United States and/or Israel on Iran should be dismissed from the mind. They've made it clear. No-one strikes Iran, without serious consequences.


Israel's Plans To Destroy Iran's Nuclear Facilities, And Nuclear Scientists

US Air Force Says Iran Tensions Could Trigger "Accidental" War

Talk Of US Vs Iran War Raised At DAVOS Summit, Russia Warns US Against Unilaterial Action Against Iran Now UN Sanctions Are In Place

Russia, Iran Move Forward On Multi-Billion Dollar Gas Deal Talks

Russia Demands Explanation From United States Over Persian Gulf, Middle East Military Build Up

Energy Giant Shell Ignores US Pressure, Intends To Go Ahead With $5 Billion Gas Deal With Iran

Only The US War Hawks Can Save The Iranian President Now


Bush Faces His Burden Of Iraq War Lies, Distortions, As He Moves To Confront Iran

Israel Is The Real Winner Of America's War On Iraq, And Coming War On Iran

Iran's Supreme Leader Broadcasts Close Ties Of Iran And Russia As US War Looms
Afghanistan : Town Recently Controlled By British Forces Now Falls To Taliban

As the world's media focuses on the daily bombings and slaughter in Iraq, the 'war at home' in the US Congress over Bush's troop "surge" plan, and the increasing tensions between the US/Israel and Iran, the war goes on in Afghanistan.

From the UK Guardian :

Taliban militants have reportedly overrun a southern Afghan town that British troops pulled out of last year after a local peace agreement was reached.

A resident of Musa Qala said 200-300 Taliban fighters seized the town, took weapons from police and destroyed a government compound late yesterday.

Colonel Tom Collins, a spokesman for Nato's International Security Assistance Force (ISAF), said an "unknown number" of militants had apparently entered Musa Qala and that Nato had conflicting reports about tribal elders temporarily being taken hostage.

Asadullah Wafa, the governor of Helmand province, said the militants came into the town Wednesday, disarmed the police force and then returned yesterday and destroyed part of the compound housing the district's governor and police.

British forces are based in Helmand province but pulled out of Musa Qala in October after a peace agreement was signed between local elders and the Helmand governor with the support of the British troops. According to the deal the security responsibilities were turned over to local leaders, while Nato forces were prevented from re-entering the town.


Afghanistan Government Grants Immunity To All Afghanis Involved In Wars Over The Past 25 Years

Britain Plans To Increase Number Of Troops In Afghanistan


US Military "Donates" 800 Vehicles, More Than 12,000 Weapons To Afghan Army


30 Suspected Taliban Killed In Two Days Of Fighting